The U.S. Supreme Court's April 6 order vacating the D.C. Circuit's affirmation of Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction—stemming from his refusal to comply with a Jan. 6 committee subpoena—remanded the case to allow the Trump DOJ to seek dismissal in the interests of justice, after Bannon served a four-month sentence in 2024. With no lower court action reported in the ensuing 12 days despite the DOJ's prior motion post-inauguration, traders reflect an 84.5% implied probability against formal exoneration by April 30, citing procedural hurdles like scheduling and judicial review amid a compressed timeline. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores uncertainty in swift case closure, even as historical DOJ dismissals in similar executive-branch shifts provide precedent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,715 交易量
$14,715 交易量
2026-04-30
$14,715 交易量
$14,715 交易量
2026-04-30
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Supreme Court's April 6 order vacating the D.C. Circuit's affirmation of Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction—stemming from his refusal to comply with a Jan. 6 committee subpoena—remanded the case to allow the Trump DOJ to seek dismissal in the interests of justice, after Bannon served a four-month sentence in 2024. With no lower court action reported in the ensuing 12 days despite the DOJ's prior motion post-inauguration, traders reflect an 84.5% implied probability against formal exoneration by April 30, citing procedural hurdles like scheduling and judicial review amid a compressed timeline. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores uncertainty in swift case closure, even as historical DOJ dismissals in similar executive-branch shifts provide precedent.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
交易量
$14,715結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Supreme Court's April 6 order vacating the D.C. Circuit's affirmation of Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction—stemming from his refusal to comply with a Jan. 6 committee subpoena—remanded the case to allow the Trump DOJ to seek dismissal in the interests of justice, after Bannon served a four-month sentence in 2024. With no lower court action reported in the ensuing 12 days despite the DOJ's prior motion post-inauguration, traders reflect an 84.5% implied probability against formal exoneration by April 30, citing procedural hurdles like scheduling and judicial review amid a compressed timeline. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores uncertainty in swift case closure, even as historical DOJ dismissals in similar executive-branch shifts provide precedent.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,715結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Supreme Court's April 6 order vacating the D.C. Circuit's affirmation of Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction—stemming from his refusal to comply with a Jan. 6 committee subpoena—remanded the case to allow the Trump DOJ to seek dismissal in the interests of justice, after Bannon served a four-month sentence in 2024. With no lower court action reported in the ensuing 12 days despite the DOJ's prior motion post-inauguration, traders reflect an 84.5% implied probability against formal exoneration by April 30, citing procedural hurdles like scheduling and judicial review amid a compressed timeline. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores uncertainty in swift case closure, even as historical DOJ dismissals in similar executive-branch shifts provide precedent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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