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Anthropic

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$4M Vol.

$71.5K Liq.

204

73%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$71.5K Liq.

204

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$373K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

21

19%

June 30

$373K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

21

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

$33.7K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

42%

9-11

$33.7K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$62.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

53%

50%+

$62.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$283K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

18%

45%+

$283K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

Tech·App Store

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

$9.2K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

39%

ChatGPT

$9.2K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

Tech·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

$4.2K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

55%

ChatGPT

$4.2K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

$691K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

53%

Connor McDavid

$691K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

CA-40 Primary Winners

Elections·Primaries

CA-40 Primary Winners

$4.7K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

75%

Young Kim

$4.7K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$43.8K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

1

30%

June 30

$43.8K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

1

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$394K Vol.

$77.4K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

78%

$200M

$394K Vol.

$77.4K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$575K Vol.

$79.5K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

73%

$2B

$575K Vol.

$79.5K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

Elections·Global Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

$3.7K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

74%

Jordan Bardella

$3.7K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$57.2K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

10

Ends in about 1 month

10%

$57.2K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

10

Ends in about 1 month

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Politics·Starmer

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

$358K Vol.

$256K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

44%

Starmer - UK PM

$358K Vol.

$256K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$66.0K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

4

Ends in over 1 year

64%

$20M

$66.0K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

4

Ends in over 1 year

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$5M Vol.

$381K Liq.

297

Ends in over 1 year

94%

$50M

$5M Vol.

$381K Liq.

297

Ends in over 1 year

Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$33.9K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

9

Ends in over 1 year

67%

$100M

$33.9K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

9

Ends in over 1 year

Dreamcash FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Dreamcash FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$30.3K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

80%

$20M

$30.3K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Reppo FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Reppo FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$207 Vol.

$764 Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

86%

$500M

$207 Vol.

$764 Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

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