Market icon
政治·中國

習近平2027年前離婚？

Market icon
政治·中國

習近平2027年前離婚？

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$74,749 交易量

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$74,749 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.1% for Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, driven by the absence of any credible reports or official indications of marital discord between Xi and first lady Peng Liyuan, whose joint public appearances continue unabated. Recent examples include their hosting of South Korean President Lee at a January 2026 state dinner in Beijing and earlier meetings with Spanish royalty in November 2025, projecting stability amid Xi's consolidated leadership in the Chinese Communist Party. Unverified YouTube rumors from mid-2025 have dissipated without substantiation, underscoring the opacity of elite personal lives in Zhongnanhai. While scandals, health events, or political upheaval could theoretically shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$74,749
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.1% for Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027, driven by the absence of any credible reports or official indications of marital discord between Xi and first lady Peng Liyuan, whose joint public appearances continue unabated. Recent examples include their hosting of South Korean President Lee at a January 2026 state dinner in Beijing and earlier meetings with Spanish royalty in November 2025, projecting stability amid Xi's consolidated leadership in the Chinese Communist Party. Unverified YouTube rumors from mid-2025 have dissipated without substantiation, underscoring the opacity of elite personal lives in Zhongnanhai. While scandals, health events, or political upheaval could theoretically shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$74,749
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"習近平2027年前離婚？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "習近平會在2027年前離婚嗎？" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "習近平2027年前離婚？" has generated $74.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "習近平2027年前離婚？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "習近平2027年前離婚？" is "習近平會在2027年前離婚嗎？" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "習近平2027年前離婚？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.