Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.8% on Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood, reflecting President Trump's March 18 social media post—joking about "#51 statehood" after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win over Italy—as unserious rhetoric with no subsequent diplomatic, legislative, or executive follow-through. Structural barriers dominate: U.S. constitutional state admission requires a territorial petition and congressional approval, impossible without Venezuela's sovereign consent amid Nicolás Maduro's regime, ongoing sanctions, and international law prohibiting forcible annexation. No recent developments signal change; historical precedents like Hawaii involved voluntary integration, not hostile takeover. Late-breaking scenarios like total regime collapse and opposition-led unification request remain highly improbable before year-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$125,053 交易量
$125,053 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$125,053 交易量
$125,053 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.8% on Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood, reflecting President Trump's March 18 social media post—joking about "#51 statehood" after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win over Italy—as unserious rhetoric with no subsequent diplomatic, legislative, or executive follow-through. Structural barriers dominate: U.S. constitutional state admission requires a territorial petition and congressional approval, impossible without Venezuela's sovereign consent amid Nicolás Maduro's regime, ongoing sanctions, and international law prohibiting forcible annexation. No recent developments signal change; historical precedents like Hawaii involved voluntary integration, not hostile takeover. Late-breaking scenarios like total regime collapse and opposition-led unification request remain highly improbable before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$125,053結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.8% on Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood, reflecting President Trump's March 18 social media post—joking about "#51 statehood" after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win over Italy—as unserious rhetoric with no subsequent diplomatic, legislative, or executive follow-through. Structural barriers dominate: U.S. constitutional state admission requires a territorial petition and congressional approval, impossible without Venezuela's sovereign consent amid Nicolás Maduro's regime, ongoing sanctions, and international law prohibiting forcible annexation. No recent developments signal change; historical precedents like Hawaii involved voluntary integration, not hostile takeover. Late-breaking scenarios like total regime collapse and opposition-led unification request remain highly improbable before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$125,053結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.8% on Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood, reflecting President Trump's March 18 social media post—joking about "#51 statehood" after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win over Italy—as unserious rhetoric with no subsequent diplomatic, legislative, or executive follow-through. Structural barriers dominate: U.S. constitutional state admission requires a territorial petition and congressional approval, impossible without Venezuela's sovereign consent amid Nicolás Maduro's regime, ongoing sanctions, and international law prohibiting forcible annexation. No recent developments signal change; historical precedents like Hawaii involved voluntary integration, not hostile takeover. Late-breaking scenarios like total regime collapse and opposition-led unification request remain highly improbable before year-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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