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政治·主要

誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？

Market icon
政治·主要

誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？

Janeese Lewis George 48%

肯亞·麥達菲 44%

Gary Goodweather 2.8%

Brianne K. Nadeau 1.4%

Polymarket

$108,758 交易量

Janeese Lewis George 48%

肯亞·麥達菲 44%

Gary Goodweather 2.8%

Brianne K. Nadeau 1.4%

Polymarket

$108,758 交易量

Janeese Lewis George

$6,007 交易量

48%

肯亞·麥達菲

$28,152 交易量

44%

Gary Goodweather

$16,152 交易量

3%

Brianne K. Nadeau

$1,552 交易量

1%

穆麗爾·鮑澤

$480 交易量

1%

卡爾·拉辛

$781 交易量

1%

羅伯特·懷特二世

$3,214 交易量

1%

克莉絲蒂娜·韓德森

$33,964 交易量

1%

布萊恩·施瓦布

$646 交易量

1%

Brooke Pinto

$14,787 交易量

1%

菲爾·門德爾森

$2,530 交易量

<1%

扎卡里·帕克

$491 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the open race to succeed Mayor Muriel Bowser, who opted against seeking a fourth term, Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George holds a slim trader consensus edge over former Ward 5 Councilmember Kenyan McDuffie, reflecting their strong ward bases and split progressive-moderate appeal amid voter concerns over housing costs and utilities. Recent heated forums in Anacostia and Ward 3—highlighted by clashes over council experience, Pepco rates, and government reform—have intensified scrutiny without clear separation, bolstered by competing endorsements and big-money attack ads. With the June 16 primary approaching, polling releases, high-profile endorsements, or fundraising breakthroughs could widen the gap in this tight, low-turnout contest driven by key voting blocs east of the river and in progressive strongholds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$108,758
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the open race to succeed Mayor Muriel Bowser, who opted against seeking a fourth term, Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George holds a slim trader consensus edge over former Ward 5 Councilmember Kenyan McDuffie, reflecting their strong ward bases and split progressive-moderate appeal amid voter concerns over housing costs and utilities. Recent heated forums in Anacostia and Ward 3—highlighted by clashes over council experience, Pepco rates, and government reform—have intensified scrutiny without clear separation, bolstered by competing endorsements and big-money attack ads. With the June 16 primary approaching, polling releases, high-profile endorsements, or fundraising breakthroughs could widen the gap in this tight, low-turnout contest driven by key voting blocs east of the river and in progressive strongholds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$108,758
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janeese Lewis George" at 48%, followed by "肯亞·麥達菲" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？" has generated $108.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？" is "Janeese Lewis George" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "肯亞·麥達菲" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.