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政治·主要

誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？

Market icon
政治·主要

誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？

Janeese Lewis George 39%

肯亞·麥達菲 35%

Gary Goodweather 4.1%

卡爾·拉辛 1.1%

Polymarket

$108,862 交易量

Janeese Lewis George 39%

肯亞·麥達菲 35%

Gary Goodweather 4.1%

卡爾·拉辛 1.1%

Polymarket

$108,862 交易量

Janeese Lewis George

$6,019 交易量

28%

肯亞·麥達菲

$28,186 交易量

30%

Gary Goodweather

$16,158 交易量

4%

卡爾·拉辛

$787 交易量

1%

穆麗爾·鮑澤

$486 交易量

1%

Brianne K. Nadeau

$1,558 交易量

1%

克莉絲蒂娜·韓德森

$33,970 交易量

1%

Brooke Pinto

$14,793 交易量

1%

布萊恩·施瓦布

$652 交易量

1%

羅伯特·懷特二世

$3,220 交易量

1%

扎卡里·帕克

$497 交易量

<1%

菲爾·門德爾森

$2,536 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary shows a razor-thin lead for former Ward 5 Councilmember Kenyan McDuffie at 29% over Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George at 27%, reflecting an open race to succeed low-odds incumbent Muriel Bowser amid early-stage dynamics with no dominant polling. Recent mid-March candidate forums in Anacostia and Southeast D.C., hosted by groups like Free D.C., featured heated clashes between the frontrunners over Pepco utility rate hikes, council experience, housing affordability, and cooperation with federal law enforcement under a potential second Trump term, preventing clear separation. Lewis George's progressive endorsements from Greater Greater Washington and the Sierra Club face headwinds from a March 29 controversy prompting her apology to Jewish leaders over an anti-Zionism pledge, while McDuffie gains from Maryland Sen. Angela Alsobrooks' backing and pro-growth messaging. With the June primary looming, further endorsements, fundraising tallies, and debates on crime and budget could tip the balance in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$108,862
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary shows a razor-thin lead for former Ward 5 Councilmember Kenyan McDuffie at 29% over Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George at 27%, reflecting an open race to succeed low-odds incumbent Muriel Bowser amid early-stage dynamics with no dominant polling. Recent mid-March candidate forums in Anacostia and Southeast D.C., hosted by groups like Free D.C., featured heated clashes between the frontrunners over Pepco utility rate hikes, council experience, housing affordability, and cooperation with federal law enforcement under a potential second Trump term, preventing clear separation. Lewis George's progressive endorsements from Greater Greater Washington and the Sierra Club face headwinds from a March 29 controversy prompting her apology to Jewish leaders over an anti-Zionism pledge, while McDuffie gains from Maryland Sen. Angela Alsobrooks' backing and pro-growth messaging. With the June primary looming, further endorsements, fundraising tallies, and debates on crime and budget could tip the balance in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$108,862
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "肯亞·麥達菲" at 30%, followed by "Janeese Lewis George" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？" has generated $108.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？" is "肯亞·麥達菲" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janeese Lewis George" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓特區市長初選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.