Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump mentioning Netanyahu (97% implied probability) in April 2026 statements, driven by his April 1 address to the nation on escalating U.S.-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz, where Israeli alliance signals routinely invoke the Israeli leader. Domestic critics like Kamala Harris (93%) and Gavin Newsom (92%) lead U.S. outcomes, reflecting Trump's persistent Truth Social attacks on Democratic figures amid policy disputes. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (92%) ranks high following recent transatlantic diplomacy talks. With the market spanning April 1–30 and no resolutions yet as of April 3, daily Truth Social posts and the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6 loom as key catalysts, underscoring traders' bets on Trump's rhetorical patterns in foreign policy and partisan rhetoric.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Netanyahu
93%
Kamala
87%
Newsom / Newscum
90%
Keir / Starmer
84%
Caine
71%
Warsh
70%
Kushner
77%
Viktor / Orbán
73%
Oz
70%
Delcy
69%
Gianni / Infantino
68%
Rand Paul
67%
Hillary
55%
Homan
66%
Maduro
36%
Schumer
59%
Castro
55%
Leo XIV / Pope
54%
Friedrich / Merz
50%
Bush
50%
Bernie
48%
Leavitt
29%
Nicki / Minaj
44%
Bolsonaro
43%
Paxton
42%
Talarico
42%
Kavanaugh
24%
Jensen / Huang
24%
Massie
38%
Elon / Musk
34%
Machado
27%
Zohran / Mamdani
48%
Zuckerberg
45%
Warren / Pocahontas
44%
$3,961 交易量
Netanyahu
93%
Kamala
87%
Newsom / Newscum
90%
Keir / Starmer
84%
Caine
71%
Warsh
70%
Kushner
77%
Viktor / Orbán
73%
Oz
70%
Delcy
69%
Gianni / Infantino
68%
Rand Paul
67%
Hillary
55%
Homan
66%
Maduro
36%
Schumer
59%
Castro
55%
Leo XIV / Pope
54%
Friedrich / Merz
50%
Bush
50%
Bernie
48%
Leavitt
29%
Nicki / Minaj
44%
Bolsonaro
43%
Paxton
42%
Talarico
42%
Kavanaugh
24%
Jensen / Huang
24%
Massie
38%
Elon / Musk
34%
Machado
27%
Zohran / Mamdani
48%
Zuckerberg
45%
Warren / Pocahontas
44%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump mentioning Netanyahu (97% implied probability) in April 2026 statements, driven by his April 1 address to the nation on escalating U.S.-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz, where Israeli alliance signals routinely invoke the Israeli leader. Domestic critics like Kamala Harris (93%) and Gavin Newsom (92%) lead U.S. outcomes, reflecting Trump's persistent Truth Social attacks on Democratic figures amid policy disputes. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (92%) ranks high following recent transatlantic diplomacy talks. With the market spanning April 1–30 and no resolutions yet as of April 3, daily Truth Social posts and the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6 loom as key catalysts, underscoring traders' bets on Trump's rhetorical patterns in foreign policy and partisan rhetoric.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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