President Trump's commitment to intensive campaigning for the 2026 midterm elections, including weekly travel and a post-Labor Day Republican convention in Dallas, drives high trader consensus probabilities for visits to battleground states like Pennsylvania (94% Yes) and Nevada (77% Yes), as well as nearby New York (83%) and New Jersey (84%). Recent domestic trips include rallies in Ohio and Kentucky on March 11 to promote economic initiatives and criticize Rep. Thomas Massie, Tennessee on March 23 for the Memphis Safe Task Force, and Delaware dignified transfers amid the Iran conflict. Frequent Florida visits continue, with the G20 summit scheduled there in December; escalating midterm dynamics and swing-state electoral math could shift odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$136,663 交易量

賓夕法尼亞州
86%

新澤西州
82%

紐約
87%

新罕布夏州
75%

維吉尼亞州
81%

阿拉巴馬州
65%

威斯康星州
65%

阿拉斯加
62%

西維吉尼亞州
60%

蒙大拿州
59%

北達科他州
59%

加利福尼亞
56%

密蘇里州
52%

堪薩斯州
52%

內布拉斯加州
73%

羅德島
51%

奧克拉荷馬州
51%

康涅狄格州
50%

印第安納州
50%

猶他州
49%

南達科他州
49%

南卡羅來納州
49%

愛達荷州
48%

伊利諾伊州
48%

俄勒岡州
47%

佛蒙特州
34%

科羅拉多州
35%

亞利桑那州
62%

夏威夷
51%

緬因州
51%

麻薩諸塞州
51%

明尼蘇達州
54%

新墨西哥州
54%

華盛頓
47%

阿肯色州
51%

路易斯安那州
50%

密西西比州
49%

內華達州
71%

懷俄明州
38%
$136,663 交易量

賓夕法尼亞州
86%

新澤西州
82%

紐約
87%

新罕布夏州
75%

維吉尼亞州
81%

阿拉巴馬州
65%

威斯康星州
65%

阿拉斯加
62%

西維吉尼亞州
60%

蒙大拿州
59%

北達科他州
59%

加利福尼亞
56%

密蘇里州
52%

堪薩斯州
52%

內布拉斯加州
73%

羅德島
51%

奧克拉荷馬州
51%

康涅狄格州
50%

印第安納州
50%

猶他州
49%

南達科他州
49%

南卡羅來納州
49%

愛達荷州
48%

伊利諾伊州
48%

俄勒岡州
47%

佛蒙特州
34%

科羅拉多州
35%

亞利桑那州
62%

夏威夷
51%

緬因州
51%

麻薩諸塞州
51%

明尼蘇達州
54%

新墨西哥州
54%

華盛頓
47%

阿肯色州
51%

路易斯安那州
50%

密西西比州
49%

內華達州
71%

懷俄明州
38%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 1, 2025, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's commitment to intensive campaigning for the 2026 midterm elections, including weekly travel and a post-Labor Day Republican convention in Dallas, drives high trader consensus probabilities for visits to battleground states like Pennsylvania (94% Yes) and Nevada (77% Yes), as well as nearby New York (83%) and New Jersey (84%). Recent domestic trips include rallies in Ohio and Kentucky on March 11 to promote economic initiatives and criticize Rep. Thomas Massie, Tennessee on March 23 for the Memphis Safe Task Force, and Delaware dignified transfers amid the Iran conflict. Frequent Florida visits continue, with the G20 summit scheduled there in December; escalating midterm dynamics and swing-state electoral math could shift odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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