Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases Donald Trump utters between March 1 and 31, 2026, reflects his frequent Truth Social posts, press conferences, and cabinet meetings addressing surging oil prices, economic recovery, crypto legislation like the Clarity Act, and Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases. A pivotal late-March live event sparked disputes over an incomplete "third term" reference, now under final review per strict verbatim criteria excluding partial or contextual variants, with high-volume trading on that outcome. Confirmed mentions of terms like "Bitcoin" amid pro-crypto pushes resolved those shares at 100¢ Yes, underscoring traders' focus on Trump's rhetorical patterns amid energy policy pressures and Iran tensions. Resolution awaits official verification, potentially by early April.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,048,959 交易量
Third term
<1%
$1,048,959 交易量
Third term
<1%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases Donald Trump utters between March 1 and 31, 2026, reflects his frequent Truth Social posts, press conferences, and cabinet meetings addressing surging oil prices, economic recovery, crypto legislation like the Clarity Act, and Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases. A pivotal late-March live event sparked disputes over an incomplete "third term" reference, now under final review per strict verbatim criteria excluding partial or contextual variants, with high-volume trading on that outcome. Confirmed mentions of terms like "Bitcoin" amid pro-crypto pushes resolved those shares at 100¢ Yes, underscoring traders' focus on Trump's rhetorical patterns amid energy policy pressures and Iran tensions. Resolution awaits official verification, potentially by early April.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions