Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott leads Polymarket trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win Vermont's August 11 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his unmatched popularity as the nation's most popular governor and history of dominant primary victories despite moderate stances. Recent circulation of petitions by his campaign, confirmed April 1, signals his likely entry ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, solidifying trader confidence amid no declared challengers. Lt. Gov. John Rodgers trails at 10%, reflecting his prominence as a bipartisan Republican who upset an incumbent in 2024 but recently announced a reelection bid for lieutenant governor rather than governor, limiting his primary threat in this low-turnout contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於菲爾·斯科特
82%
約翰·羅傑斯
10%
菲爾·斯科特
82%
約翰·羅傑斯
10%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott leads Polymarket trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win Vermont's August 11 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his unmatched popularity as the nation's most popular governor and history of dominant primary victories despite moderate stances. Recent circulation of petitions by his campaign, confirmed April 1, signals his likely entry ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, solidifying trader confidence amid no declared challengers. Lt. Gov. John Rodgers trails at 10%, reflecting his prominence as a bipartisan Republican who upset an incumbent in 2024 but recently announced a reelection bid for lieutenant governor rather than governor, limiting his primary threat in this low-turnout contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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