Tensions between the United States and Colombia over counternarcotics efforts have eased following recent diplomatic assurances to President Gustavo Petro amid March 2026 U.S. investigations into his alleged drug ties, tempering earlier threats of military action after the January U.S. airstrikes on Venezuela. President Trump's February White House meeting with Petro defused peak escalation, where he had accused Bogotá of enabling cocaine flows, but a March Pentagon briefing on "Operation Total Extermination" hinted at potential further regional strikes targeting cartels in Colombia, Ecuador, and Cuba. No qualifying U.S. drone, missile, or aerial strike has impacted Colombian soil to date, per market criteria excluding sea or ground actions. Colombia's May 2026 presidential election looms as a pivotal factor that could alter policy alignment and escalation risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,498,296 交易量
2026-01-31
3月31日
<1%
12月31日
20%
$1,498,296 交易量
3月31日
$408,868 交易量
<1%
12月31日
$421,089 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the United States and Colombia over counternarcotics efforts have eased following recent diplomatic assurances to President Gustavo Petro amid March 2026 U.S. investigations into his alleged drug ties, tempering earlier threats of military action after the January U.S. airstrikes on Venezuela. President Trump's February White House meeting with Petro defused peak escalation, where he had accused Bogotá of enabling cocaine flows, but a March Pentagon briefing on "Operation Total Extermination" hinted at potential further regional strikes targeting cartels in Colombia, Ecuador, and Cuba. No qualifying U.S. drone, missile, or aerial strike has impacted Colombian soil to date, per market criteria excluding sea or ground actions. Colombia's May 2026 presidential election looms as a pivotal factor that could alter policy alignment and escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
交易量
$1,498,296結束日期
2026-01-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the United States and Colombia over counternarcotics efforts have eased following recent diplomatic assurances to President Gustavo Petro amid March 2026 U.S. investigations into his alleged drug ties, tempering earlier threats of military action after the January U.S. airstrikes on Venezuela. President Trump's February White House meeting with Petro defused peak escalation, where he had accused Bogotá of enabling cocaine flows, but a March Pentagon briefing on "Operation Total Extermination" hinted at potential further regional strikes targeting cartels in Colombia, Ecuador, and Cuba. No qualifying U.S. drone, missile, or aerial strike has impacted Colombian soil to date, per market criteria excluding sea or ground actions. Colombia's May 2026 presidential election looms as a pivotal factor that could alter policy alignment and escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$1,498,296結束日期
2026-01-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between the United States and Colombia over counternarcotics efforts have eased following recent diplomatic assurances to President Gustavo Petro amid March 2026 U.S. investigations into his alleged drug ties, tempering earlier threats of military action after the January U.S. airstrikes on Venezuela. President Trump's February White House meeting with Petro defused peak escalation, where he had accused Bogotá of enabling cocaine flows, but a March Pentagon briefing on "Operation Total Extermination" hinted at potential further regional strikes targeting cartels in Colombia, Ecuador, and Cuba. No qualifying U.S. drone, missile, or aerial strike has impacted Colombian soil to date, per market criteria excluding sea or ground actions. Colombia's May 2026 presidential election looms as a pivotal factor that could alter policy alignment and escalation risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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