Freedom Movement (GS) commands 99.1% trader consensus as the Slovenian parliamentary election winner following official results from the April 2022 vote, where GS secured 41 seats—the largest bloc in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—well ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 27 seats. Recent confirmation by the National Election Commission of final tallies, with no successful recounts or legal challenges reported in the past 30 days, has locked in this near-certainty, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing. Potential shifts could stem from unprecedented court rulings invalidating results or post-election scandals, though historical patterns show such reversals are exceedingly rare in Slovenia's stable electoral system. Coalition negotiations now focus on government formation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$4,276,804 交易量
$4,276,804 交易量

自由運動(GS)
99%

斯洛維尼亞民主黨(SDS)
1%
$4,276,804 交易量
$4,276,804 交易量

自由運動(GS)
99%

斯洛維尼亞民主黨(SDS)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間: Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Freedom Movement (GS) commands 99.1% trader consensus as the Slovenian parliamentary election winner following official results from the April 2022 vote, where GS secured 41 seats—the largest bloc in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—well ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 27 seats. Recent confirmation by the National Election Commission of final tallies, with no successful recounts or legal challenges reported in the past 30 days, has locked in this near-certainty, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in skin-in-the-game pricing. Potential shifts could stem from unprecedented court rulings invalidating results or post-election scandals, though historical patterns show such reversals are exceedingly rare in Slovenia's stable electoral system. Coalition negotiations now focus on government formation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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