Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 18.1%

加文·紐森 17.1%

馬可·魯比歐 10.3%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 4.8%

Polymarket

$462,911,721 交易量

JD Vance 18.1%

加文·紐森 17.1%

馬可·魯比歐 10.3%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 4.8%

Polymarket

$462,911,721 交易量

Market icon

JD Vance

$9,024,034 交易量

18%

Market icon

加文·紐森

$6,550,840 交易量

17%

Market icon

馬可·魯比歐

$5,201,847 交易量

10%

Market icon

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,198,595 交易量

5%

Market icon

喬恩·奧索夫

$2,843,486 交易量

3%

Market icon

塔克·卡爾森

$8,825,717 交易量

3%

Market icon

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,395,469 交易量

3%

Market icon

喬希·夏皮羅

$5,273,199 交易量

2%

Market icon

唐納德·川普

$6,342,336 交易量

2%

Market icon

皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,425,505 交易量

2%

Market icon

JB Pritzker

$8,686,720 交易量

2%

Market icon

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,711,730 交易量

2%

Market icon

德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,497,901 交易量

1%

Market icon

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,664,451 交易量

1%

Market icon

安迪·貝希爾

$14,850,348 交易量

1%

Market icon

伊萬卡·川普

$3,922,576 交易量

1%

Market icon

傑米·戴蒙

$6,991,809 交易量

1%

Market icon

米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,120,534 交易量

1%

Market icon

埃隆·馬斯克

$21,575,418 交易量

1%

Market icon

格雷琴·惠特默

$7,344,194 交易量

1%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$31,213,702 交易量

1%

Market icon

韋斯·摩爾

$5,466,547 交易量

1%

Market icon

唐納德·川普二世

$8,275,893 交易量

1%

Market icon

妮基·黑利

$20,665,854 交易量

1%

Market icon

羅·卡納

$5,368,460 交易量

1%

Market icon

托馬斯·馬西

$3,207,443 交易量

1%

Market icon

圖西·加巴德

$27,019,079 交易量

1%

Market icon

提姆·沃茲

$38,191,579 交易量

1%

Market icon

格倫·揚金

$19,545,040 交易量

1%

Market icon

史蒂芬·史密斯

$27,953,812 交易量

1%

Market icon

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$28,609,058 交易量

1%

Market icon

祖蘭·曼達尼

$15,921,649 交易量

1%

Market icon

埃里克·川普

$4,564,220 交易量

1%

Market icon

彼特·赫格塞斯

$1,357,240 交易量

1%

Market icon

金·卡戴珊

$28,278,980 交易量

1%

Market icon

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$41,838,157 交易量

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential winner, with odds at 18.1% and 17.2%, reflecting early positioning in a wide-open GOP succession race under President Trump's second term and Democrats' search for a post-2024 nominee. Recent escalation in the Iran conflict has boosted Secretary of State Marco Rubio to 10.4% by showcasing his foreign policy credentials, while Vance faces sharpened Democratic attacks and perceptions of Trump administration missteps eroding his lead. The race remains tight amid high uncertainty two years from primaries, with 2026 midterms, official candidacy announcements, Trump's endorsement signals, and administration performance on economy and geopolitics poised to create separation among battleground state electorates.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential winner, with odds at 18.1% and 17.2%, reflecting early positioning in a wide-open GOP succession race under President Trump's second term and Democrats' search for a post-2024 nominee. Recent escalation in the Iran conflict has boosted Secretary of State Marco Rubio to 10.4% by showcasing his foreign policy credentials, while Vance faces sharpened Democratic attacks and perceptions of Trump administration missteps eroding his lead. The race remains tight amid high uncertainty two years from primaries, with 2026 midterms, official candidacy announcements, Trump's endorsement signals, and administration performance on economy and geopolitics poised to create separation among battleground state electorates.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential winner, with odds at 18.1% and 17.2%, reflecting early positioning in a wide-open GOP succession race under President Trump's second term and Democrats' search for a post-2024 nominee. Recent escalation in the Iran conflict has boosted Secretary of State Marco Rubio to 10.4% by showcasing his foreign policy credentials, while Vance faces sharpened Democratic attacks and perceptions of Trump administration missteps eroding his lead. The race remains tight amid high uncertainty two years from primaries, with 2026 midterms, official candidacy announcements, Trump's endorsement signals, and administration performance on economy and geopolitics poised to create separation among battleground state electorates.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential winner, with odds at 18.1% and 17.2%, reflecting early positioning in a wide-open GOP succession race under President Trump's second term and Democrats' search for a post-2024 nominee. Recent escalation in the Iran conflict has boosted Secretary of State Marco Rubio to 10.4% by showcasing his foreign policy credentials, while Vance faces sharpened Democratic attacks and perceptions of Trump administration missteps eroding his lead. The race remains tight amid high uncertainty two years from primaries, with 2026 midterms, official candidacy announcements, Trump's endorsement signals, and administration performance on economy and geopolitics poised to create separation among battleground state electorates.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $462.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.