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選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 17.7%

加文·紐森 17.3%

馬可·魯比歐 10.7%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 4.7%

Polymarket

$459,504,899 交易量

JD Vance 17.7%

加文·紐森 17.3%

馬可·魯比歐 10.7%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 4.7%

Polymarket

$459,504,899 交易量

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JD Vance

$8,995,287 交易量

18%

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加文·紐森

$6,515,068 交易量

17%

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馬可·魯比歐

$5,179,792 交易量

11%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,178,298 交易量

5%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$2,761,137 交易量

4%

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塔克·卡爾森

$8,495,831 交易量

3%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,383,153 交易量

3%

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喬希·夏皮羅

$5,210,186 交易量

2%

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唐納德·川普

$6,293,226 交易量

2%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,415,665 交易量

2%

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JB Pritzker

$8,204,417 交易量

2%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,669,932 交易量

2%

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德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,466,503 交易量

2%

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安迪·貝希爾

$14,838,555 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·川普

$3,908,737 交易量

1%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,372,581 交易量

1%

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傑米·戴蒙

$6,985,807 交易量

1%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,095,433 交易量

1%

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埃隆·馬斯克

$21,551,397 交易量

1%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$7,300,142 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,187,874 交易量

1%

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韋斯·摩爾

$5,441,364 交易量

1%

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唐納德·川普二世

$8,256,085 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$20,643,529 交易量

1%

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羅·卡納

$5,248,167 交易量

1%

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托馬斯·馬西

$3,189,010 交易量

1%

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圖西·加巴德

$26,961,503 交易量

1%

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提姆·沃茲

$38,095,777 交易量

1%

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格倫·揚金

$19,445,685 交易量

1%

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史蒂芬·史密斯

$27,838,149 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$28,492,156 交易量

1%

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祖蘭·曼達尼

$15,698,853 交易量

1%

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埃里克·川普

$4,438,756 交易量

1%

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彼特·赫格塞斯

$1,155,098 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$28,092,033 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$41,501,729 交易量

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.JD Vance edges Gavin Newsom as top trader picks at 17.8% and 17.3% implied probabilities on Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner market, driven by recent positioning amid 2024 election uncertainty. Vance's surge follows his selection as Donald Trump's vice presidential running mate and high-profile Republican National Convention speech, boosting his visibility as a potential GOP heir apparent if Trump prevails. Newsom has climbed via national media attacks on Trump and subtle distancing from Kamala Harris's campaign struggles in swing states, appealing to Democratic donors. This close contest highlights the 2024 outcome's outsized influence, with Trump's endorsement, Harris incumbency effects, or post-election endorsements poised to create separation before inauguration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$459,504,899
結束日期
Nov 7, 2028
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.JD Vance edges Gavin Newsom as top trader picks at 17.8% and 17.3% implied probabilities on Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner market, driven by recent positioning amid 2024 election uncertainty. Vance's surge follows his selection as Donald Trump's vice presidential running mate and high-profile Republican National Convention speech, boosting his visibility as a potential GOP heir apparent if Trump prevails. Newsom has climbed via national media attacks on Trump and subtle distancing from Kamala Harris's campaign struggles in swing states, appealing to Democratic donors. This close contest highlights the 2024 outcome's outsized influence, with Trump's endorsement, Harris incumbency effects, or post-election endorsements poised to create separation before inauguration.

JD Vance edges Gavin Newsom as top trader picks at 17.8% and 17.3% implied probabilities on Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner market, driven by recent positioning amid 2024 election uncertainty. Vance's surge follows his selection as Donald Trump's vice presidential running mate and high-profile Republican National Convention speech, boosting his visibility as a potential GOP heir apparent if Trump prevails. Newsom has climbed via national media attacks on Trump and subtle distancing from Kamala Harris's campaign struggles in swing states, appealing to Democratic donors. This close contest highlights the 2024 outcome's outsized influence, with Trump's endorsement, Harris incumbency effects, or post-election endorsements poised to create separation before inauguration.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $459.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.