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選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 17.6%

加文·紐森 16.2%

馬可·魯比歐 10.2%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 6.2%

Polymarket

$486,173,000 交易量

JD Vance 17.6%

加文·紐森 16.2%

馬可·魯比歐 10.2%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 6.2%

Polymarket

$486,173,000 交易量

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JD Vance

$9,635,231 交易量

18%

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加文·紐森

$8,866,836 交易量

16%

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馬可·魯比歐

$5,477,111 交易量

10%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,549,346 交易量

6%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$3,164,791 交易量

3%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,662,060 交易量

3%

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塔克·卡爾森

$9,612,144 交易量

3%

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唐納德·川普

$6,707,960 交易量

2%

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喬希·夏皮羅

$5,415,648 交易量

2%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,529,237 交易量

2%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,967,465 交易量

2%

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安迪·貝希爾

$16,016,985 交易量

2%

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JB Pritzker

$10,471,667 交易量

2%

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德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,756,361 交易量

1%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,870,508 交易量

1%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,441,003 交易量

1%

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埃隆·馬斯克

$22,218,859 交易量

1%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$7,878,144 交易量

1%

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傑米·戴蒙

$7,393,559 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,552,069 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·川普

$4,227,641 交易量

1%

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韋斯·摩爾

$5,850,493 交易量

1%

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唐納德·川普二世

$8,670,232 交易量

1%

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羅·卡納

$6,030,122 交易量

1%

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托馬斯·馬西

$3,487,475 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$21,265,032 交易量

1%

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提姆·沃茲

$38,801,945 交易量

1%

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格倫·揚金

$20,036,237 交易量

1%

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史蒂芬·史密斯

$28,695,101 交易量

1%

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圖西·加巴德

$27,478,931 交易量

1%

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祖蘭·曼達尼

$16,707,190 交易量

1%

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埃里克·川普

$5,611,151 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$43,677,784 交易量

1%

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彼特·赫格塞斯

$2,331,303 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$29,414,858 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$29,700,983 交易量

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.6%, buoyed by his strong showings in recent Republican straw polls like CPAC (53%) and AmericaFest, positioning him as the GOP heir apparent under President Trump. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 16.3%, gaining rapidly in prediction markets over the past two weeks amid surveys naming him the top Democrat to challenge the administration post-2024, while Marco Rubio's 10.2% reflects boosts from his Secretary of State role in Venezuela operations and Iran tensions. This tight race persists due to the early stage—primaries years away—and volatility tied to 2026 midterms, Trump endorsements, or foreign policy developments that could widen leads or spark shifts.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$486,173,000
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.6%, buoyed by his strong showings in recent Republican straw polls like CPAC (53%) and AmericaFest, positioning him as the GOP heir apparent under President Trump. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 16.3%, gaining rapidly in prediction markets over the past two weeks amid surveys naming him the top Democrat to challenge the administration post-2024, while Marco Rubio's 10.2% reflects boosts from his Secretary of State role in Venezuela operations and Iran tensions. This tight race persists due to the early stage—primaries years away—and volatility tied to 2026 midterms, Trump endorsements, or foreign policy developments that could widen leads or spark shifts.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$486,173,000
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $486.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.