Market icon
政治·全球選舉

祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

Market icon
政治·全球選舉

祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 38%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 16.8%

藤森惠子 17%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏 13.3%

Polymarket

$4,026,515 交易量

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 38%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 16.8%

藤森惠子 17%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏 13.3%

Polymarket

$4,026,515 交易量

Market icon

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

$499,773 交易量

38%

Market icon

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$289,498 交易量

17%

Market icon

藤森惠子

$199,121 交易量

17%

Market icon

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

$188,805 交易量

13%

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卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$96,374 交易量

6%

Market icon

喬治·涅托

$622,231 交易量

4%

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里卡多·貝爾蒙特

$152,748 交易量

3%

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沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$362,094 交易量

1%

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卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$132,126 交易量

1%

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Yonhy Lescano

$143,007 交易量

1%

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瑪麗索·佩雷斯·特略

$154,301 交易量

1%

Market icon

費爾南多·奧利維拉

$94,038 交易量

1%

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喬治·福賽斯

$129,583 交易量

1%

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梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$74,967 交易量

<1%

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馬里奧·維茲卡拉

$129,188 交易量

<1%

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荷西·威廉斯

$59,093 交易量

<1%

Market icon

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$95,800 交易量

<1%

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拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·廖薩

$118,649 交易量

<1%

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羅貝托·奇亞布拉

$60,774 交易量

<1%

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恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

$136,048 交易量

<1%

Market icon

荷塞·盧納

$92,287 交易量

<1%

Market icon

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$116,435 交易量

<1%

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菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

$79,573 交易量

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 37.5% implied probability for the 2026 Peruvian presidential election winner, reflecting his consistent lead or tie in recent first-round polls amid a fragmented field of 36 candidates ahead of the April 12 vote, where no one exceeds 20% support and high undecided rates exceed 40%. A March 25 Reuters report and Datum survey (March 13-17) show López Aliaga at 18% alongside Keiko Fujimori at 19%, bolstering right-wing frontrunners' positioning on security and anti-corruption amid ongoing instability. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to 16.8% lacks polling backing but follows debate performances highlighting rural appeal for Juntos por el Perú; Fujimori holds 16.5% on name recognition, while Alfonso López Chau at 13.3% gains as a centre-left alternative per March 16 reports. A likely runoff in June amplifies coalition and turnout dynamics.

Trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 37.5% implied probability for the 2026 Peruvian presidential election winner, reflecting his consistent lead or tie in recent first-round polls amid a fragmented field of 36 candidates ahead of the April 12 vote, where no one exceeds 20% support and high undecided rates exceed 40%. A March 25 Reuters report and Datum survey (March 13-17) show López Aliaga at 18% alongside Keiko Fujimori at 19%, bolstering right-wing frontrunners' positioning on security and anti-corruption amid ongoing instability. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to 16.8% lacks polling backing but follows debate performances highlighting rural appeal for Juntos por el Perú; Fujimori holds 16.5% on name recognition, while Alfonso López Chau at 13.3% gains as a centre-left alternative per March 16 reports. A likely runoff in June amplifies coalition and turnout dynamics.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 37.5% implied probability for the 2026 Peruvian presidential election winner, reflecting his consistent lead or tie in recent first-round polls amid a fragmented field of 36 candidates ahead of the April 12 vote, where no one exceeds 20% support and high undecided rates exceed 40%. A March 25 Reuters report and Datum survey (March 13-17) show López Aliaga at 18% alongside Keiko Fujimori at 19%, bolstering right-wing frontrunners' positioning on security and anti-corruption amid ongoing instability. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to 16.8% lacks polling backing but follows debate performances highlighting rural appeal for Juntos por el Perú; Fujimori holds 16.5% on name recognition, while Alfonso López Chau at 13.3% gains as a centre-left alternative per March 16 reports. A likely runoff in June amplifies coalition and turnout dynamics.

Trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 37.5% implied probability for the 2026 Peruvian presidential election winner, reflecting his consistent lead or tie in recent first-round polls amid a fragmented field of 36 candidates ahead of the April 12 vote, where no one exceeds 20% support and high undecided rates exceed 40%. A March 25 Reuters report and Datum survey (March 13-17) show López Aliaga at 18% alongside Keiko Fujimori at 19%, bolstering right-wing frontrunners' positioning on security and anti-corruption amid ongoing instability. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to 16.8% lacks polling backing but follows debate performances highlighting rural appeal for Juntos por el Perú; Fujimori holds 16.5% on name recognition, while Alfonso López Chau at 13.3% gains as a centre-left alternative per March 16 reports. A likely runoff in June amplifies coalition and turnout dynamics.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加" at 38%, followed by "羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" has generated $4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.