Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, at Changi Airport's official climate station, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS). Despite NEA forecasts for late-March daily maximums around 34–35°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions, widespread afternoon thundery showers and cloudy skies capped the heat, aligning with equatorial climatology where convective activity often moderates peaks. Historical March averages hover near 31°C, and no station exceeded this official reading by day's end. Revisions to final MSS data are rare but could arise from quality control checks; otherwise, resolution appears locked.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於新加坡3月29日的最高溫度?
新加坡3月29日的最高溫度?
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$177,074 交易量
$177,074 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$177,074 交易量
$177,074 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, at Changi Airport's official climate station, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS). Despite NEA forecasts for late-March daily maximums around 34–35°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions, widespread afternoon thundery showers and cloudy skies capped the heat, aligning with equatorial climatology where convective activity often moderates peaks. Historical March averages hover near 31°C, and no station exceeded this official reading by day's end. Revisions to final MSS data are rare but could arise from quality control checks; otherwise, resolution appears locked.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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