Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures of 16-18°C in Munich on April 7, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 17°C (30% implied probability), 16°C (23%), and 18°C (18.5%). This clustering stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild continental air, boosting highs above the early-April climatological average of 13°C amid lengthening daylight and potential foehn influence near the Alps. Key differentiators include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud development and boundary-layer mixing, which could suppress peaks to 16°C under thicker clouds or enable 18°C via clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated 12Z runs from GFS and ECMWF due soon may sharpen consensus as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 7?
17°C 31%
16°C 24%
18°C 20%
19°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
24%
17°C
31%
18°C
20%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 31%
16°C 24%
18°C 20%
19°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
13°C或以下
$2,926 交易量
1%
14°C
$1,405 交易量
3%
15°C
$375 交易量
9%
16°C
$683 交易量
24%
17°C
$502 交易量
31%
18°C
$514 交易量
20%
19°C
$452 交易量
14%
20°C
$383 交易量
4%
21°C
$422 交易量
2%
22°C
$316 交易量
1%
23°C or higher
$291 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures of 16-18°C in Munich on April 7, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 17°C (30% implied probability), 16°C (23%), and 18°C (18.5%). This clustering stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild continental air, boosting highs above the early-April climatological average of 13°C amid lengthening daylight and potential foehn influence near the Alps. Key differentiators include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud development and boundary-layer mixing, which could suppress peaks to 16°C under thicker clouds or enable 18°C via clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated 12Z runs from GFS and ECMWF due soon may sharpen consensus as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,264結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures of 16-18°C in Munich on April 7, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 17°C (30% implied probability), 16°C (23%), and 18°C (18.5%). This clustering stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild continental air, boosting highs above the early-April climatological average of 13°C amid lengthening daylight and potential foehn influence near the Alps. Key differentiators include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud development and boundary-layer mixing, which could suppress peaks to 16°C under thicker clouds or enable 18°C via clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated 12Z runs from GFS and ECMWF due soon may sharpen consensus as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,264結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures of 16-18°C in Munich on April 7, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 17°C (30% implied probability), 16°C (23%), and 18°C (18.5%). This clustering stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild continental air, boosting highs above the early-April climatological average of 13°C amid lengthening daylight and potential foehn influence near the Alps. Key differentiators include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud development and boundary-layer mixing, which could suppress peaks to 16°C under thicker clouds or enable 18°C via clearer skies and stronger insolation. Updated 12Z runs from GFS and ECMWF due soon may sharpen consensus as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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