Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 21–22°C highs in Munich on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 19–23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow into Central Europe. This setup favors above-average spring temperatures—historically 12–15°C for early April—but model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential cold-air intrusions, differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C. No major developments in the past week have shifted the outlook; watch for daily GFS and ICON updates, as resolution hinges on official airport station readings at Munich (EDDM).
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 24%
22°C 22%
19°C 18%
20°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
18%
20°C
17%
21°C
24%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 24%
22°C 22%
19°C 18%
20°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C or below
$197 交易量
<1%
15°C
$174 交易量
<1%
16°C
$82 交易量
2%
17°C
$85 交易量
4%
18°C
$182 交易量
10%
19°C
$119 交易量
18%
20°C
$84 交易量
17%
21°C
$111 交易量
24%
22°C
$107 交易量
22%
23°C
$94 交易量
12%
24°C or higher
$62 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 21–22°C highs in Munich on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 19–23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow into Central Europe. This setup favors above-average spring temperatures—historically 12–15°C for early April—but model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential cold-air intrusions, differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C. No major developments in the past week have shifted the outlook; watch for daily GFS and ICON updates, as resolution hinges on official airport station readings at Munich (EDDM).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,297結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 21–22°C highs in Munich on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 19–23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow into Central Europe. This setup favors above-average spring temperatures—historically 12–15°C for early April—but model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential cold-air intrusions, differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C. No major developments in the past week have shifted the outlook; watch for daily GFS and ICON updates, as resolution hinges on official airport station readings at Munich (EDDM).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,297結束日期
2026-04-05市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 21–22°C highs in Munich on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 19–23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow into Central Europe. This setup favors above-average spring temperatures—historically 12–15°C for early April—but model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential cold-air intrusions, differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C. No major developments in the past week have shifted the outlook; watch for daily GFS and ICON updates, as resolution hinges on official airport station readings at Munich (EDDM).
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions