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政治·主要

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·主要

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

Vicente Ada 72%

Frank F. Blas Jr. 17%

Marcel Camacho 1.5%

Charlie Hermosa 1.1%

Polymarket

$22,066 交易量

Vicente Ada 72%

Frank F. Blas Jr. 17%

Marcel Camacho 1.5%

Charlie Hermosa 1.1%

Polymarket

$22,066 交易量

Vicente Ada

$6,714 交易量

72%

Frank F. Blas Jr.

$4,959 交易量

17%

Marcel Camacho

$2,165 交易量

2%

Charlie Hermosa

$0 交易量

1%

Douglas Moylan

$8,229 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Vicente "Tony" Ada leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability for the August 1 Republican primary for Guam governor, driven by his statewide name recognition from winning the 2022 lieutenant governor primary nomination and current vice-speakership in the GOP-controlled Guam Legislature. Speaker Frank F. Blas Jr. trails at 17% as the primary challenger, leveraging his top legislative role and January announcement with running mate Mary Okada, former Guam Community College president. Lesser-known contenders like Marcel Camacho linger below 2%, amid a crowded field ahead of the May 1 nominating petition deadline. Recent platform rollouts, including Ada's March focus on housing shortages with partner Edward Calvo, underscore campaign momentum without public polling to shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$22,066
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Vicente "Tony" Ada leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability for the August 1 Republican primary for Guam governor, driven by his statewide name recognition from winning the 2022 lieutenant governor primary nomination and current vice-speakership in the GOP-controlled Guam Legislature. Speaker Frank F. Blas Jr. trails at 17% as the primary challenger, leveraging his top legislative role and January announcement with running mate Mary Okada, former Guam Community College president. Lesser-known contenders like Marcel Camacho linger below 2%, amid a crowded field ahead of the May 1 nominating petition deadline. Recent platform rollouts, including Ada's March focus on housing shortages with partner Edward Calvo, underscore campaign momentum without public polling to shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$22,066
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vicente Ada" at 72%, followed by "Frank F. Blas Jr." at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $22.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Vicente Ada" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frank F. Blas Jr." at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.