Florida's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward a 89.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 2026 general election despite incumbent Byron Donalds vacating the seat for his gubernatorial bid. Donalds' recent record $22 million fundraising quarter confirms his focus on the open governor's race, where polls show him leading the GOP field. A crowded Republican primary features endorsements like Johnny Fratto's backing of Madison Cawthorn, while Democratic challengers remain uncompetitive. The April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primary loom as key upcoming events, but historical blowout margins and weak opposition sustain high odds for a GOP hold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$0 交易量
90%
Democratic Party
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward a 89.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 2026 general election despite incumbent Byron Donalds vacating the seat for his gubernatorial bid. Donalds' recent record $22 million fundraising quarter confirms his focus on the open governor's race, where polls show him leading the GOP field. A crowded Republican primary features endorsements like Johnny Fratto's backing of Madison Cawthorn, while Democratic challengers remain uncompetitive. The April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primary loom as key upcoming events, but historical blowout margins and weak opposition sustain high odds for a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward a 89.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 2026 general election despite incumbent Byron Donalds vacating the seat for his gubernatorial bid. Donalds' recent record $22 million fundraising quarter confirms his focus on the open governor's race, where polls show him leading the GOP field. A crowded Republican primary features endorsements like Johnny Fratto's backing of Madison Cawthorn, while Democratic challengers remain uncompetitive. The April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primary loom as key upcoming events, but historical blowout margins and weak opposition sustain high odds for a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with a strong partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward a 89.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 2026 general election despite incumbent Byron Donalds vacating the seat for his gubernatorial bid. Donalds' recent record $22 million fundraising quarter confirms his focus on the open governor's race, where polls show him leading the GOP field. A crowded Republican primary features endorsements like Johnny Fratto's backing of Madison Cawthorn, while Democratic challengers remain uncompetitive. The April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primary loom as key upcoming events, but historical blowout margins and weak opposition sustain high odds for a GOP hold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions