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政治·世界選舉

衣索比亞議會選舉贏家

Market icon
政治·世界選舉

衣索比亞議會選舉贏家

繁榮黨 95.2%

格代奧人民民主黨（GPDP） 2.9%

阿姆哈拉全國運動（NaMA） 1.3%

提格雷人民解放陣線（TPLF） <1%

Polymarket
最新

繁榮黨 95.2%

格代奧人民民主黨（GPDP） 2.9%

阿姆哈拉全國運動（NaMA） 1.3%

提格雷人民解放陣線（TPLF） <1%

Polymarket
最新
繁榮黨（Prosperity）會在2026年埃塞俄比亞大選中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

繁榮黨

$3,070 交易量

95%

格代奧人民民主黨（GPDP）會在2026年埃塞俄比亞大選中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

格代奧人民民主黨（GPDP）

$1,708 交易量

3%

阿姆哈拉全國運動（NaMA）會在2026年埃塞俄比亞大選中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

阿姆哈拉全國運動（NaMA）

$1,459 交易量

1%

提格雷人民解放陣線（TPLF）會在2026年埃塞俄比亞大選中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

提格雷人民解放陣線（TPLF）

$1,103 交易量

<1%

衣塞俄比亞社會正義公民黨（EZEMA）會在2026年衣塞俄比亞大選中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

EZEMA

$0 交易量

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).Prosperity Party's commanding trader consensus above 95% for most seats in Ethiopia's June 1 parliamentary election stems from its 2021 landslide victory, securing over 95% of House of Peoples' Representatives seats amid opposition weaknesses, reinforced by recent National Election Board of Ethiopia announcements of over 42 million registered voters and accreditation of 23 fragmented opposition parties including EZEMA, NaMA, GPDP, and TPLF. Incumbency advantages under Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, coupled with preparations framed as the most organized poll yet, bolster this positioning despite regional conflicts in Tigray and Amhara. Realistic challenges include violence disrupting voting, opposition preconditions leading to boycotts or uncontested constituencies, or irregularities sparking disputes that alter regional outcomes.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).
交易量
$7,340
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).Prosperity Party's commanding trader consensus above 95% for most seats in Ethiopia's June 1 parliamentary election stems from its 2021 landslide victory, securing over 95% of House of Peoples' Representatives seats amid opposition weaknesses, reinforced by recent National Election Board of Ethiopia announcements of over 42 million registered voters and accreditation of 23 fragmented opposition parties including EZEMA, NaMA, GPDP, and TPLF. Incumbency advantages under Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, coupled with preparations framed as the most organized poll yet, bolster this positioning despite regional conflicts in Tigray and Amhara. Realistic challenges include violence disrupting voting, opposition preconditions leading to boycotts or uncontested constituencies, or irregularities sparking disputes that alter regional outcomes.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).
交易量
$7,340
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"衣索比亞議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "繁榮黨" at 95%, followed by "格代奧人民民主黨（GPDP）" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"衣索比亞議會選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 16, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "衣索比亞議會選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "衣索比亞議會選舉贏家" is "繁榮黨" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "格代奧人民民主黨（GPDP）" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "衣索比亞議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.