Trader consensus favors center-right Simone Venturini at 55% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, 2026, with a potential runoff, edging center-left Andrea Martella at 44.5% in a closely contested race between the two main coalitions. Overnight vandalism on April 18 at Venturini's Campo Santa Marina headquarters—featuring offensive notes like "Insieme verso il degrado"—drew condemnations from Martella and others, underscoring rising campaign tensions but unlikely to shift dynamics significantly. Recent boosts for Venturini include the Lega's April 11 candidate list rollout and unified centrodestra backing as Luigi Brugnaro's perceived successor, amid ongoing list presentations like UDC's. Economist Michele Boldrin's April 1 independent "Ora!" bid adds minor fragmentation, while polls such as Tecnè's recent survey and February readings show Venturini leading first-round support near 36%, fueling expectations of a strong runoff position on issues like tourism, commerce, and safety.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 55%
Andrea Martella 45%
Michele Boldrin 1.9%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
55%

Andrea Martella
45%

Michele Boldrin
2%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 55%
Andrea Martella 45%
Michele Boldrin 1.9%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
55%

Andrea Martella
45%

Michele Boldrin
2%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors center-right Simone Venturini at 55% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election on May 24-25, 2026, with a potential runoff, edging center-left Andrea Martella at 44.5% in a closely contested race between the two main coalitions. Overnight vandalism on April 18 at Venturini's Campo Santa Marina headquarters—featuring offensive notes like "Insieme verso il degrado"—drew condemnations from Martella and others, underscoring rising campaign tensions but unlikely to shift dynamics significantly. Recent boosts for Venturini include the Lega's April 11 candidate list rollout and unified centrodestra backing as Luigi Brugnaro's perceived successor, amid ongoing list presentations like UDC's. Economist Michele Boldrin's April 1 independent "Ora!" bid adds minor fragmentation, while polls such as Tecnè's recent survey and February readings show Venturini leading first-round support near 36%, fueling expectations of a strong runoff position on issues like tourism, commerce, and safety.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions