Market icon
政治·獎勵200、4.5、50

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月20日至3月27日？

Market icon
政治·獎勵200、4.5、50

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月20日至3月27日？

Ended: 3月 27

3月 31

4月 3

4月 7

4月 10

Ended: 3月 27

3月 31

4月 3

4月 7

4月 10

260-279 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,067,939 交易量

260-279 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,067,939 交易量

<20

$0 交易量

否

20-39

$0 交易量

否

40-59

$27,536 交易量

否

60-79

$0 交易量

否

80-99

$0 交易量

否

100-119

$0 交易量

否

120-139

$0 交易量

否

140-159

$0 交易量

否

160-179

$0 交易量

否

180-199

$0 交易量

否

200-219

$0 交易量

否

220-239

$1,366,665 交易量

否

240-259

$1,270,080 交易量

否

260-279

$1,005,341 交易量

是

280-299

$1,004,139 交易量

否

300-319

$952,219 交易量

否

320-339

$912,694 交易量

否

340-359

$692,327 交易量

否

360-379

$595,214 交易量

否

380-399

$480,942 交易量

否

400-419

$397,218 交易量

否

420-439

$402,653 交易量

否

440-459

$288,380 交易量

否

460-479

$342,148 交易量

否

480-499

$374,575 交易量

否

500-519

$190,718 交易量

否

520-539

$190,306 交易量

否

540-559

$184,858 交易量

否

560-579

$140,694 交易量

否

580+

$249,234 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$11,067,939
結束日期
2026-03-27
市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$11,067,939
結束日期
2026-03-27
市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月20日至3月27日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "260-279" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月20日至3月27日？" has generated $11.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月20日至3月27日？," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月20日至3月27日？" is "260-279" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月20日至3月27日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.