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選舉·世界選舉

2028年民主黨總統提名人

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年民主黨總統提名人

加文·紐森 24.7%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 8.0%

喬恩·奧索夫 5.3%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 4.0%

Polymarket

$958,089,088 交易量

加文·紐森 24.7%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 8.0%

喬恩·奧索夫 5.3%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 4.0%

Polymarket

$958,089,088 交易量

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加文·紐森

$17,552,533 交易量

25%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$6,451,341 交易量

8%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$6,284,278 交易量

5%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$9,003,471 交易量

4%

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喬什·夏皮羅

$6,013,004 交易量

4%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$9,669,795 交易量

4%

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安迪·貝希爾

$6,663,284 交易量

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,378,416 交易量

2%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$4,879,673 交易量

2%

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喬恩·斯圖爾特

$10,840,976 交易量

2%

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馬克·凱利

$11,632,361 交易量

2%

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羅·卡納

$4,957,845 交易量

2%

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魯本·加列戈

$3,714,769 交易量

2%

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韋斯·摩爾

$13,675,475 交易量

2%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$7,319,927 交易量

2%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$21,972,152 交易量

1%

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史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$14,188,723 交易量

1%

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歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$43,410,142 交易量

1%

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科里·布克

$21,484,992 交易量

1%

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拉姆·伊曼紐爾

$11,238,770 交易量

1%

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馬克·庫班

$17,945,820 交易量

1%

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巨石強森

$8,877,493 交易量

1%

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約翰·費特曼

$17,116,500 交易量

1%

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切爾西·克林頓

$44,780,877 交易量

1%

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克里斯·墨菲

$11,483,979 交易量

1%

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羅伊·庫珀

$25,343,689 交易量

1%

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佐赫蘭·曼達尼

$33,212,709 交易量

1%

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喬治·克魯尼

$37,559,392 交易量

1%

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莉茲·切尼

$33,447,176 交易量

1%

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安德魯·楊

$42,893,393 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$38,863,653 交易量

1%

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MrBeast

$35,524,955 交易量

1%

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希拉蕊·柯林頓

$37,779,926 交易量

1%

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吉娜·雷蒙多

$27,713,599 交易量

1%

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拉斐爾·沃諾克

$25,554,258 交易量

1%

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巴拉克·歐巴馬

$26,329,648 交易量

1%

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蒂姆·瓦爾茲

$36,832,712 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$33,406,756 交易量

1%

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賈里德·波利斯

$19,699,642 交易量

1%

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菲爾·墨菲

$33,729,470 交易量

1%

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亨特·拜登

$31,718,706 交易量

1%

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賈思敏·克羅克特

$23,219,446 交易量

1%

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伯尼·桑德斯

$39,420,401 交易量

1%

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貝托·奧羅克

$32,305,808 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear early frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.8%, driven by his $25 million fundraising war chest, national visibility as a Trump administration critic, and a March 2026 California poll showing him leading Kamala Harris among state Democrats. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.0% amid progressive buzz from her February Munich Security Conference appearance, while Jon Ossoff's 5.3% reflects a viral anti-Trump speech boosting his swing-state appeal. This wide-open field lacks consolidation catalysts; 2026 midterm outcomes, early primary state polling surges, formal announcements, and endorsements from party elders could rally support behind a contender amid high uncertainty three years out.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$958,089,088
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions California Governor Gavin Newsom as the clear early frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.8%, driven by his $25 million fundraising war chest, national visibility as a Trump administration critic, and a March 2026 California poll showing him leading Kamala Harris among state Democrats. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.0% amid progressive buzz from her February Munich Security Conference appearance, while Jon Ossoff's 5.3% reflects a viral anti-Trump speech boosting his swing-state appeal. This wide-open field lacks consolidation catalysts; 2026 midterm outcomes, early primary state polling surges, formal announcements, and endorsements from party elders could rally support behind a contender amid high uncertainty three years out.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$958,089,088
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "加文·紐森" at 25%, followed by "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主黨總統提名人" has generated $958.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" is "加文·紐森" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.