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選舉·世界選舉

2028年民主黨總統提名人

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年民主黨總統提名人

加文·紐森 24.3%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 8.0%

喬恩·奧索夫 5.4%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 4.5%

Polymarket

$953,776,273 交易量

加文·紐森 24.3%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 8.0%

喬恩·奧索夫 5.4%

卡馬拉·哈里斯 4.5%

Polymarket

$953,776,273 交易量

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加文·紐森

$17,220,261 交易量

24%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$6,399,417 交易量

8%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$6,162,068 交易量

5%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$8,859,905 交易量

4%

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喬什·夏皮羅

$6,006,162 交易量

4%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$9,620,508 交易量

4%

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安迪·貝希爾

$6,565,460 交易量

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,109,092 交易量

3%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$4,542,989 交易量

2%

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喬恩·斯圖爾特

$10,668,945 交易量

2%

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馬克·凱利

$11,504,305 交易量

2%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$7,313,899 交易量

2%

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羅·卡納

$4,722,616 交易量

2%

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魯本·加列戈

$3,713,150 交易量

2%

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韋斯·摩爾

$13,671,000 交易量

2%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$21,952,688 交易量

1%

Market icon

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$14,020,742 交易量

1%

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歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$43,376,606 交易量

1%

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科里·布克

$21,469,580 交易量

1%

Market icon

拉姆·伊曼紐爾

$11,231,787 交易量

1%

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馬克·庫班

$17,927,098 交易量

1%

Market icon

巨石強森

$8,848,921 交易量

1%

Market icon

約翰·費特曼

$17,101,461 交易量

1%

Market icon

佐赫蘭·曼達尼

$33,181,722 交易量

1%

Market icon

切爾西·克林頓

$44,732,176 交易量

1%

Market icon

克里斯·墨菲

$11,450,580 交易量

1%

Market icon

喬治·克魯尼

$37,505,552 交易量

1%

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莉茲·切尼

$33,133,983 交易量

1%

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安德魯·楊

$42,873,529 交易量

1%

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賈里德·波利斯

$19,664,024 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$38,834,702 交易量

1%

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MrBeast

$35,487,446 交易量

1%

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羅伊·庫珀

$25,290,772 交易量

1%

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希拉蕊·柯林頓

$37,755,675 交易量

1%

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吉娜·雷蒙多

$27,667,085 交易量

1%

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拉斐爾·沃諾克

$25,505,889 交易量

1%

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巴拉克·歐巴馬

$26,216,936 交易量

1%

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蒂姆·瓦爾茲

$36,755,902 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$33,355,911 交易量

1%

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菲爾·墨菲

$33,657,359 交易量

1%

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亨特·拜登

$31,697,367 交易量

1%

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伯尼·桑德斯

$39,320,095 交易量

1%

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貝托·奧羅克

$32,015,518 交易量

1%

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賈思敏·克羅克特

$22,711,456 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by recent Emerson College polls placing him at 20-25% nationally—highest among tested contenders—and strong backing in California surveys, positioning him as a battle-tested governor with a national anti-Trump profile post-2024 election loss. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and youth, while Jon Ossoff (5.4%) benefits from Georgia's battleground status; Kamala Harris lags at 4.5% amid baggage from her general election defeat. This wide-open primary field, with over $900 million in Polymarket volume, reflects uncertainty ahead of 2026 midterms, where Democratic gains or key endorsements could consolidate support around fundraising leaders or swing-state performers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$953,776,273
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by recent Emerson College polls placing him at 20-25% nationally—highest among tested contenders—and strong backing in California surveys, positioning him as a battle-tested governor with a national anti-Trump profile post-2024 election loss. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and youth, while Jon Ossoff (5.4%) benefits from Georgia's battleground status; Kamala Harris lags at 4.5% amid baggage from her general election defeat. This wide-open primary field, with over $900 million in Polymarket volume, reflects uncertainty ahead of 2026 midterms, where Democratic gains or key endorsements could consolidate support around fundraising leaders or swing-state performers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$953,776,273
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "加文·紐森" at 24%, followed by "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主黨總統提名人" has generated $953.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主黨總統提名人," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" is "加文·紐森" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.