Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 78% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by his strong lead in Democratic Party primary polls—33.9% among party supporters per March 23 surveys—and advancement to the April 4 runoff against Noh Young-min after no first-round majority on March 27. People Power Party turmoil boosts DPK prospects: incumbent Governor Kim Young-hwan was excluded from nomination in mid-March and demanded reinstatement or an independent run in an April 1 press conference, fragmenting opposition support. Song Ki-sub trails at 9.8% as a potential PPP contender amid ongoing primaries, while Noh holds 9.5% contingent on upsetting Shin, reflecting national PPP approval declines in the region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於申永漢 79%
宋基燮 10.9%
盧英敏 8%
趙吉亨 3.8%
$16,452 交易量
$16,452 交易量
申永漢
79%
宋基燮
11%
盧英敏
8%
趙吉亨
4%
金永煥
3%
李鍾培
3%
都鍾煥
2%
尹熙根
1%
申永漢 79%
宋基燮 10.9%
盧英敏 8%
趙吉亨 3.8%
$16,452 交易量
$16,452 交易量
申永漢
79%
宋基燮
11%
盧英敏
8%
趙吉亨
4%
金永煥
3%
李鍾培
3%
都鍾煥
2%
尹熙根
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市場開放時間: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 78% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by his strong lead in Democratic Party primary polls—33.9% among party supporters per March 23 surveys—and advancement to the April 4 runoff against Noh Young-min after no first-round majority on March 27. People Power Party turmoil boosts DPK prospects: incumbent Governor Kim Young-hwan was excluded from nomination in mid-March and demanded reinstatement or an independent run in an April 1 press conference, fragmenting opposition support. Song Ki-sub trails at 9.8% as a potential PPP contender amid ongoing primaries, while Noh holds 9.5% contingent on upsetting Shin, reflecting national PPP approval declines in the region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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