Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects consistent opinion polls showing the CDU maintaining a clear lead in the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, with averages around 22-23% support—well ahead of AfD (16-17%), SPD (16%), Die Linke (15-16%), and Grüne (15%). The latest INSA poll from late February placed CDU at 22%, AfD at 17%, underscoring its projected plurality of seats (around 34 out of 130) in Berlin's proportional representation system with a 5% threshold. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition faces challenges retaining a majority, amid national momentum from Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU-led federal government and local dissatisfaction with past administrative failures. No major shifts in March polls have emerged, keeping CDU as the favored plurality winner despite fragmented opposition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於基民盟 51%
AfD 13.8%
綠黨 11.9%
Linke 11%
$2,177,680 交易量
$2,177,680 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
基民盟
51%
AfD
14%
綠黨
12%
Linke
11%
SPD
9%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
基民盟 51%
AfD 13.8%
綠黨 11.9%
Linke 11%
$2,177,680 交易量
$2,177,680 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
基民盟
$9,017 交易量
51%
AfD
$1,827,720 交易量
14%
綠黨
$23,102 交易量
12%
Linke
$8,237 交易量
11%
SPD
$284,946 交易量
9%
BSW
$16,199 交易量
1%
FDP
$8,519 交易量
<1%
FW
$5,121 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects consistent opinion polls showing the CDU maintaining a clear lead in the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, with averages around 22-23% support—well ahead of AfD (16-17%), SPD (16%), Die Linke (15-16%), and Grüne (15%). The latest INSA poll from late February placed CDU at 22%, AfD at 17%, underscoring its projected plurality of seats (around 34 out of 130) in Berlin's proportional representation system with a 5% threshold. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition faces challenges retaining a majority, amid national momentum from Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU-led federal government and local dissatisfaction with past administrative failures. No major shifts in March polls have emerged, keeping CDU as the favored plurality winner despite fragmented opposition.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市場開放時間： Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$2,177,680結束日期
Sep 20, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects consistent opinion polls showing the CDU maintaining a clear lead in the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, with averages around 22-23% support—well ahead of AfD (16-17%), SPD (16%), Die Linke (15-16%), and Grüne (15%). The latest INSA poll from late February placed CDU at 22%, AfD at 17%, underscoring its projected plurality of seats (around 34 out of 130) in Berlin's proportional representation system with a 5% threshold. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition faces challenges retaining a majority, amid national momentum from Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU-led federal government and local dissatisfaction with past administrative failures. No major shifts in March polls have emerged, keeping CDU as the favored plurality winner despite fragmented opposition.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$2,177,680結束日期
Sep 20, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects consistent opinion polls showing the CDU maintaining a clear lead in the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, with averages around 22-23% support—well ahead of AfD (16-17%), SPD (16%), Die Linke (15-16%), and Grüne (15%). The latest INSA poll from late February placed CDU at 22%, AfD at 17%, underscoring its projected plurality of seats (around 34 out of 130) in Berlin's proportional representation system with a 5% threshold. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition faces challenges retaining a majority, amid national momentum from Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU-led federal government and local dissatisfaction with past administrative failures. No major shifts in March polls have emerged, keeping CDU as the favored plurality winner despite fragmented opposition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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