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AI在2026年贏得IMO金牌?

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AI在2026年贏得IMO金牌?

12月 31

12月 31

72% 機率
Polymarket
最新

72% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Google DeepMind's Gemini Deep Think and OpenAI's advanced reasoning models achieved official gold medal-level performance on the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO) problems—scoring 35 out of 42 points by solving five of six challenges—certified by the IMO committee and marking a leap from DeepMind's 2024 silver standard. This rapid progress in AI mathematical reasoning, blending large language models with formal verification techniques like AlphaProof evolutions, has fueled trader consensus at 72% implied probability for an AI securing a full gold medal at IMO 2026. Competitive advancements from labs including OpenAI continue to push benchmarks, though escalating problem complexity and verification hurdles temper certainty ahead of the July event.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
交易量
$3,328
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Google DeepMind's Gemini Deep Think and OpenAI's advanced reasoning models achieved official gold medal-level performance on the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO) problems—scoring 35 out of 42 points by solving five of six challenges—certified by the IMO committee and marking a leap from DeepMind's 2024 silver standard. This rapid progress in AI mathematical reasoning, blending large language models with formal verification techniques like AlphaProof evolutions, has fueled trader consensus at 72% implied probability for an AI securing a full gold medal at IMO 2026. Competitive advancements from labs including OpenAI continue to push benchmarks, though escalating problem complexity and verification hurdles temper certainty ahead of the July event.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
交易量
$3,328
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"AI在2026年贏得IMO金牌?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "人工智慧在2026年贏得國際數學奧林匹克金牌?" at 72%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"AI在2026年贏得IMO金牌?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "AI在2026年贏得IMO金牌?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "AI在2026年贏得IMO金牌?" is "人工智慧在2026年贏得國際數學奧林匹克金牌?" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "AI在2026年贏得IMO金牌?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.