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選舉·票

2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率

Market icon
選舉·票

2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率

1億1500萬-1億2000萬 19%

1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 18%

1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 13%

1億500萬至1億1000萬 10%

Polymarket
最新

1億1500萬-1億2000萬 19%

1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 18%

1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 13%

1億500萬至1億1000萬 10%

Polymarket
最新

少於8,500萬

$257 交易量

9%

8,500萬-9,000萬

$357 交易量

8%

9,000萬-9,500萬

$739 交易量

5%

9,500萬至1億

$196 交易量

6%

1億到1億零5百萬

$436 交易量

6%

1億500萬至1億1000萬

$208 交易量

10%

1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬

$173 交易量

13%

1億1500萬-1億2000萬

$166 交易量

19%

1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬

$196 交易量

18%

1.25-1.3 億

$166 交易量

9%

1億3,000萬+

$177 交易量

6%

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent surges in Democratic primary turnout, including record early voting in Texas exceeding prior midterm levels and strong Latino engagement in South Texas, have fueled trader expectations for House voter turnout around 115-125 million, matching or surpassing 2018's 114 million amid ongoing polarization. Yet probabilities remain tightly clustered at 18.5% for 115-120 million and 17.5% for 120-125 million due to mixed signals: high early participation offset by softer Election Day showings in recent primaries, stable generic congressional ballot polls showing narrow Democratic edges, and historical midterm variability below presidential levels. Key separators include spring primaries in battleground states, economic indicators influencing turnout enthusiasm, presidential approval trends, and mobilization efforts ahead of November 3.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$3,071
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent surges in Democratic primary turnout, including record early voting in Texas exceeding prior midterm levels and strong Latino engagement in South Texas, have fueled trader expectations for House voter turnout around 115-125 million, matching or surpassing 2018's 114 million amid ongoing polarization. Yet probabilities remain tightly clustered at 18.5% for 115-120 million and 17.5% for 120-125 million due to mixed signals: high early participation offset by softer Election Day showings in recent primaries, stable generic congressional ballot polls showing narrow Democratic edges, and historical midterm variability below presidential levels. Key separators include spring primaries in battleground states, economic indicators influencing turnout enthusiasm, presidential approval trends, and mobilization efforts ahead of November 3.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$3,071
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1億1500萬-1億2000萬" at 19%, followed by "1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率" is "1億1500萬-1億2000萬" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.