World Events

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

39%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

25%

António José Seguro (IND)

39%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

25%

$97m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

André Ventura (CH)

43%

António José Seguro (IND)

24%

André Ventura (CH)

43%

António José Seguro (IND)

24%

$1m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

André Ventura (CH)

24%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

24%

André Ventura (CH)

24%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

24%

$1m Vol.

Henrique Gouveia e Melo vote share in Portuguese presidential first round?

<12%

11%

12%-14%

11%

<12%

11%

12%-14%

11%

$75k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round

Mendes 6%+

Mendes 4-6%

Mendes 6%+

Mendes 4-6%

$77k Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes vote share in Portuguese presidential first round?

<16%

14%

16%-18%

25%

<16%

14%

16%-18%

25%

$65k Vol.

André Ventura vote share in Portuguese presidential first round?

<16%

16%-18%

12%

<16%

16%-18%

12%

$59k Vol.

João Cotrim de Figueiredo vote share in Portuguese presidential first round?

<10%

10%-12%

<10%

10%-12%

$47k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner Lisbon District

António José Seguro (IND)

53%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

30%

António José Seguro (IND)

53%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

30%

$11k Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?

chance

$128k Vol.

António José Seguro vote share in Portuguese presidential first round?

<12%

12%-14%

11%

<12%

12%-14%

11%

$21k Vol.

Turnout in 2025 Portugal Presidential Election First Round (Higher Strikes)

<45%

19%

45-46%

<45%

19%

45-46%

$9k Vol.

Turnout in 2025 Portugal Presidential Election First Round

<34%

34-36%

<1%

<34%

34-36%

<1%

$33k Vol.

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Portugal Election Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

World Events