Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean’s commanding financial position, with $1.2 million cash-on-hand as of late March FEC filings, alongside his spot on the powerful Ways and Means Committee, anchors trader consensus at 81% for a GOP win in Florida’s 4th Congressional District. Seeking a third term after 15-point reelection margins in 2022 and 2024, Bean faces minimal Republican primary opposition from Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 contest in this Cook-rated Solid Republican seat spanning Clay, Nassau, and northern Duval counties. The fragmented Democratic primary—featuring underfunded Michael Kirwan, Ricky Knoles, and Brittney Robinson—keeps party odds at 13.5%, while independents Ronald Sherard and Todd Schaefer appear on the November 3 general ballot but pose limited threat per historical precedents. Former President Trump’s February endorsement further solidifies Bean’s path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-04 House Election Winner
FL-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,633 ปริมาณ
81%
Democratic Party
$2,905 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean’s commanding financial position, with $1.2 million cash-on-hand as of late March FEC filings, alongside his spot on the powerful Ways and Means Committee, anchors trader consensus at 81% for a GOP win in Florida’s 4th Congressional District. Seeking a third term after 15-point reelection margins in 2022 and 2024, Bean faces minimal Republican primary opposition from Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 contest in this Cook-rated Solid Republican seat spanning Clay, Nassau, and northern Duval counties. The fragmented Democratic primary—featuring underfunded Michael Kirwan, Ricky Knoles, and Brittney Robinson—keeps party odds at 13.5%, while independents Ronald Sherard and Todd Schaefer appear on the November 3 general ballot but pose limited threat per historical precedents. Former President Trump’s February endorsement further solidifies Bean’s path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,538วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean’s commanding financial position, with $1.2 million cash-on-hand as of late March FEC filings, alongside his spot on the powerful Ways and Means Committee, anchors trader consensus at 81% for a GOP win in Florida’s 4th Congressional District. Seeking a third term after 15-point reelection margins in 2022 and 2024, Bean faces minimal Republican primary opposition from Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 contest in this Cook-rated Solid Republican seat spanning Clay, Nassau, and northern Duval counties. The fragmented Democratic primary—featuring underfunded Michael Kirwan, Ricky Knoles, and Brittney Robinson—keeps party odds at 13.5%, while independents Ronald Sherard and Todd Schaefer appear on the November 3 general ballot but pose limited threat per historical precedents. Former President Trump’s February endorsement further solidifies Bean’s path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,538วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean’s commanding financial position, with $1.2 million cash-on-hand as of late March FEC filings, alongside his spot on the powerful Ways and Means Committee, anchors trader consensus at 81% for a GOP win in Florida’s 4th Congressional District. Seeking a third term after 15-point reelection margins in 2022 and 2024, Bean faces minimal Republican primary opposition from Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 contest in this Cook-rated Solid Republican seat spanning Clay, Nassau, and northern Duval counties. The fragmented Democratic primary—featuring underfunded Michael Kirwan, Ricky Knoles, and Brittney Robinson—keeps party odds at 13.5%, while independents Ronald Sherard and Todd Schaefer appear on the November 3 general ballot but pose limited threat per historical precedents. Former President Trump’s February endorsement further solidifies Bean’s path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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