Trump’s Truth Social posting volume in September 2026 has run near 14 posts per day on average, placing a seven-day total near the boundary between the 80-99 and 100-119 brackets that together command over 99% of market probability. Recent daily activity shows clusters of policy updates, endorsements, and commentary on legislative and media developments, consistent with patterns observed earlier in the month. Traders appear to weigh this established September cadence against the potential for short-term spikes driven by unfolding events such as congressional negotiations or travel. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether the daily rate will hold at or slightly above the recent monthly norm through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated80-99 49.6%
100-119 37.2%
160-179 7.4%
120-139 4%
$21,838 Vol.
$21,838 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
80-99
50%
100-119
37%
120-139
4%
140-159
9%
160-179
7%
180-199
1%
200+
2%
80-99 49.6%
100-119 37.2%
160-179 7.4%
120-139 4%
$21,838 Vol.
$21,838 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
80-99
$4,459 Vol.
50%
100-119
$2,496 Vol.
37%
120-139
$1,926 Vol.
4%
140-159
$1,846 Vol.
9%
160-179
$1,950 Vol.
7%
180-199
$1,610 Vol.
1%
200+
$3,202 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s Truth Social posting volume in September 2026 has run near 14 posts per day on average, placing a seven-day total near the boundary between the 80-99 and 100-119 brackets that together command over 99% of market probability. Recent daily activity shows clusters of policy updates, endorsements, and commentary on legislative and media developments, consistent with patterns observed earlier in the month. Traders appear to weigh this established September cadence against the potential for short-term spikes driven by unfolding events such as congressional negotiations or travel. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether the daily rate will hold at or slightly above the recent monthly norm through the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$21,838End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s Truth Social posting volume in September 2026 has run near 14 posts per day on average, placing a seven-day total near the boundary between the 80-99 and 100-119 brackets that together command over 99% of market probability. Recent daily activity shows clusters of policy updates, endorsements, and commentary on legislative and media developments, consistent with patterns observed earlier in the month. Traders appear to weigh this established September cadence against the potential for short-term spikes driven by unfolding events such as congressional negotiations or travel. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether the daily rate will hold at or slightly above the recent monthly norm through the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$21,838End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s Truth Social posting volume in September 2026 has run near 14 posts per day on average, placing a seven-day total near the boundary between the 80-99 and 100-119 brackets that together command over 99% of market probability. Recent daily activity shows clusters of policy updates, endorsements, and commentary on legislative and media developments, consistent with patterns observed earlier in the month. Traders appear to weigh this established September cadence against the potential for short-term spikes driven by unfolding events such as congressional negotiations or travel. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether the daily rate will hold at or slightly above the recent monthly norm through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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