Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% to win Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan makeup—where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature, all statewide offices, and the at-large House seat, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1977. U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman leads the crowded GOP primary field with endorsements from Donald Trump, Lummis, Sen. John Barrasso, and groups like Club for Growth, plus nearly $1 million raised by late 2025. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, represents a thin opposition amid absent competitive polling. The August 18 primaries could clarify nominees, but a Democratic upset would require a major GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or extraordinary national anti-Republican wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг

Республиканец
93%

Демократ
8%

Республиканец
93%

Демократ
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% to win Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan makeup—where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature, all statewide offices, and the at-large House seat, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1977. U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman leads the crowded GOP primary field with endorsements from Donald Trump, Lummis, Sen. John Barrasso, and groups like Club for Growth, plus nearly $1 million raised by late 2025. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, represents a thin opposition amid absent competitive polling. The August 18 primaries could clarify nominees, but a Democratic upset would require a major GOP scandal, nominee withdrawal, or extraordinary national anti-Republican wave.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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