Venezuela's disputed July 2024 presidential election and Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration amid fraud allegations from opposition leader Edmundo González continue to define limited diplomatic access, with the US, EU, and others withholding recognition while maintaining sanctions. Trader sentiment hinges on potential visits by US envoys, regional leaders like Brazil's Lula da Silva—who has pushed mediation—or international observers before March 31, amid stalled oil license renewals and prisoner swap talks. No high-profile trips are confirmed, but US administration transitions post-January 20 inauguration and OAS or UN diplomatic overtures could shift dynamics, reflecting uncertain bilateral relations and geopolitical posturing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$35,575 Объем
Джейми Даймон
89%
Динора Фигера
41%
Каролайн Левитт
31%
Чарльз Майерс
29%
Дэн Кейн
18%
Эдмундо Гонсалес Уррутия
12%
Кеир Стармер
10%
Марко Рубио
8%
Эммануэль Макрон
6%
Ларри Финк
6%
Дональд Трамп
5%
Джаред Кушнер
3%
Пит Хегсет
3%
Мария Корина Мачадо
10%
Джей Ди Вэнс
7%
Николас Мадуро
1%
Ричард Гренелл
49%
$35,575 Объем
Джейми Даймон
89%
Динора Фигера
41%
Каролайн Левитт
31%
Чарльз Майерс
29%
Дэн Кейн
18%
Эдмундо Гонсалес Уррутия
12%
Кеир Стармер
10%
Марко Рубио
8%
Эммануэль Макрон
6%
Ларри Финк
6%
Дональд Трамп
5%
Джаред Кушнер
3%
Пит Хегсет
3%
Мария Корина Мачадо
10%
Джей Ди Вэнс
7%
Николас Мадуро
1%
Ричард Гренелл
49%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuela's disputed July 2024 presidential election and Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration amid fraud allegations from opposition leader Edmundo González continue to define limited diplomatic access, with the US, EU, and others withholding recognition while maintaining sanctions. Trader sentiment hinges on potential visits by US envoys, regional leaders like Brazil's Lula da Silva—who has pushed mediation—or international observers before March 31, amid stalled oil license renewals and prisoner swap talks. No high-profile trips are confirmed, but US administration transitions post-January 20 inauguration and OAS or UN diplomatic overtures could shift dynamics, reflecting uncertain bilateral relations and geopolitical posturing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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