In New York's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler, trader consensus favors Assemblymember Micah Lasher at 42% implied probability, boosted by former Mayor Michael Bloomberg's March 12 pledge of up to $5 million via super PAC for his ex-aide amid a fundraising arms race. Assemblymember Alex Bores follows at 28%, gaining from DC37 municipal union endorsement last week and top finishes in early March polls showing him at 20% among likely voters. Jack Schlossberg sits at 19%, leveraging Kennedy family name recognition from an initial poll lead, but high undecideds (over 30%) and attack ads highlight the volatile, contested field ahead of the June 23 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМайка Лашер 42%
Алекс Борес 33%
Джек Шлоссберг 19%
Эрик Боттчер 5.4%
$104,445 Объем
$104,445 Объем
Майка Лашер
42%
Алекс Борес
28%
Джек Шлоссберг
19%
Эрик Боттчер
5%
Джордж Конуэй
3%
Лиз Крюгер
1%
Лина Хан
1%
Джули Менин
1%
Кэмерон Каски
1%
Эндрю Куомо
<1%
Брэд Хойлман-Сигал
<1%
Кит Пауэрс
<1%
Гейл Брюэр
<1%
Кэролайн Мэлони
<1%
Брэд Ландер
<1%
Челси Клинтон
<1%
Лиам Элкинд
<1%
Скотт Стрингер
<1%
Синтия Никсон
<1%
Майка Лашер 42%
Алекс Борес 33%
Джек Шлоссберг 19%
Эрик Боттчер 5.4%
$104,445 Объем
$104,445 Объем
Майка Лашер
42%
Алекс Борес
28%
Джек Шлоссберг
19%
Эрик Боттчер
5%
Джордж Конуэй
3%
Лиз Крюгер
1%
Лина Хан
1%
Джули Менин
1%
Кэмерон Каски
1%
Эндрю Куомо
<1%
Брэд Хойлман-Сигал
<1%
Кит Пауэрс
<1%
Гейл Брюэр
<1%
Кэролайн Мэлони
<1%
Брэд Ландер
<1%
Челси Клинтон
<1%
Лиам Элкинд
<1%
Скотт Стрингер
<1%
Синтия Никсон
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In New York's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler, trader consensus favors Assemblymember Micah Lasher at 42% implied probability, boosted by former Mayor Michael Bloomberg's March 12 pledge of up to $5 million via super PAC for his ex-aide amid a fundraising arms race. Assemblymember Alex Bores follows at 28%, gaining from DC37 municipal union endorsement last week and top finishes in early March polls showing him at 20% among likely voters. Jack Schlossberg sits at 19%, leveraging Kennedy family name recognition from an initial poll lead, but high undecideds (over 30%) and attack ads highlight the volatile, contested field ahead of the June 23 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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