Market icon

Which coalition will form the next German government?

CDU/CSU & SPD 100.0%

CDU/CSU, FDP, & Greens <1%

Other <1%

CDU/CSU, SPD, & Greens <1%

Polymarket

$22,837,927 Объем

Правила

The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election.

If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".

If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”.

Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Объем
$22,837,927
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Дата создания
Jan 28, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election. If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”. Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon

Which coalition will form the next German government?

CDU/CSU & SPD 100.0%

CDU/CSU, FDP, & Greens <1%

Other <1%

CDU/CSU, SPD, & Greens <1%

Polymarket

$22,837,927 Объем

CDU/CSU, FDP, & Greens

$479,189 Объем

No

Other

$1,214,969 Объем

No

CDU/CSU & SPD

$1,934,548 Объем

Yes

CDU/CSU, SPD, & Greens

$866,659 Объем

No

CDU/CSU & AfD

$1,359,645 Объем

No

CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW

$998,205 Объем

No

CDU/CSU & Greens

$8,182,739 Объем

No

CDU/CSU, SPD, & FDP

$579,441 Объем

No

SPD, FDP, & Greens

$7,222,531 Объем

No

О нас

Объем
$22,837,927
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Дата создания
Jan 28, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.