Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads recent first-round polling averages around 39-43 percent as he seeks a fourth term with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate, positioning him to advance from the October 4 first round. Flávio Bolsonaro, the primary right-wing challenger and son of the imprisoned former president, trails in the mid-to-high 20s percent range but consolidates much of the opposition despite recent audio leaks that dented his support. Fragmented alternatives including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema split remaining votes, increasing the likelihood that Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro reach the October 25 runoff absent a late surge by a third candidate. Voter priorities on crime, economic conditions, and institutional stability continue to shape consolidation trends ahead of candidate registration deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие кандидаты выйдут во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?
Какие кандидаты выйдут во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?
$390,732 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
86%
Флавио Болсонару
69%
Фернанду Аддад
6%
Мишель Болсонару
4%
Тарсисио де Фрейтас
3%
Жаир Болсонару
3%
$390,732 Объем
Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
$176,661 Объем
86%
Флавио Болсонару
$36,448 Объем
69%
Фернанду Аддад
$59,071 Объем
6%
Мишель Болсонару
$27,423 Объем
4%
Тарсисио де Фрейтас
$78,357 Объем
3%
Жаир Болсонару
$12,771 Объем
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads recent first-round polling averages around 39-43 percent as he seeks a fourth term with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate, positioning him to advance from the October 4 first round. Flávio Bolsonaro, the primary right-wing challenger and son of the imprisoned former president, trails in the mid-to-high 20s percent range but consolidates much of the opposition despite recent audio leaks that dented his support. Fragmented alternatives including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema split remaining votes, increasing the likelihood that Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro reach the October 25 runoff absent a late surge by a third candidate. Voter priorities on crime, economic conditions, and institutional stability continue to shape consolidation trends ahead of candidate registration deadlines.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
Объем
$390,732Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads recent first-round polling averages around 39-43 percent as he seeks a fourth term with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate, positioning him to advance from the October 4 first round. Flávio Bolsonaro, the primary right-wing challenger and son of the imprisoned former president, trails in the mid-to-high 20s percent range but consolidates much of the opposition despite recent audio leaks that dented his support. Fragmented alternatives including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema split remaining votes, increasing the likelihood that Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro reach the October 25 runoff absent a late surge by a third candidate. Voter priorities on crime, economic conditions, and institutional stability continue to shape consolidation trends ahead of candidate registration deadlines.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$390,732Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads recent first-round polling averages around 39-43 percent as he seeks a fourth term with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate, positioning him to advance from the October 4 first round. Flávio Bolsonaro, the primary right-wing challenger and son of the imprisoned former president, trails in the mid-to-high 20s percent range but consolidates much of the opposition despite recent audio leaks that dented his support. Fragmented alternatives including Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema split remaining votes, increasing the likelihood that Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro reach the October 25 runoff absent a late surge by a third candidate. Voter priorities on crime, economic conditions, and institutional stability continue to shape consolidation trends ahead of candidate registration deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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