Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between median Miami home values landing in the $1.12–1.14 million (34.2% implied probability) and $1.20–1.22 million (34.9%) bins as of April 1, driven by recent cooling in South Florida's housing dynamics amid persistent 6.8% 30-year mortgage rates that curb affordability and boost inventory by 15% year-over-year per Redfin data. March reports from Zillow and local MLS showed month-over-month price stagnation around $1.15 million, with sales volume down 5%, splitting sentiment between luxury demand resilience from international buyers and broader correction risks from slowing job growth in tourism and tech sectors. Key differentiators include upcoming Federal Reserve policy signals and April home value index releases, which could tip the balance toward stabilization or further softening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакова будет средняя стоимость жилья в Майами 1 апреля?
Какова будет средняя стоимость жилья в Майами 1 апреля?
1,2 - 1,22 млн 44.2%
1,22 - 1,24 млн 30.6%
1,16 - 1,18 млн 31%
1,14 - 1,16 млн 18%
<1,1 млн
2%
1,1 - 1,12 млн
2%
1,12 - 1,14 млн
32%
1,14 - 1,16 млн
25%
1,16 - 1,18 млн
31%
1,18 - 1,2 млн
17%
1,2 - 1,22 млн
33%
1,22 - 1,24 млн
31%
>1,24 млн
7%
1,2 - 1,22 млн 44.2%
1,22 - 1,24 млн 30.6%
1,16 - 1,18 млн 31%
1,14 - 1,16 млн 18%
<1,1 млн
2%
1,1 - 1,12 млн
2%
1,12 - 1,14 млн
32%
1,14 - 1,16 млн
25%
1,16 - 1,18 млн
31%
1,18 - 1,2 млн
17%
1,2 - 1,22 млн
33%
1,22 - 1,24 млн
31%
>1,24 млн
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between median Miami home values landing in the $1.12–1.14 million (34.2% implied probability) and $1.20–1.22 million (34.9%) bins as of April 1, driven by recent cooling in South Florida's housing dynamics amid persistent 6.8% 30-year mortgage rates that curb affordability and boost inventory by 15% year-over-year per Redfin data. March reports from Zillow and local MLS showed month-over-month price stagnation around $1.15 million, with sales volume down 5%, splitting sentiment between luxury demand resilience from international buyers and broader correction risks from slowing job growth in tourism and tech sectors. Key differentiators include upcoming Federal Reserve policy signals and April home value index releases, which could tip the balance toward stabilization or further softening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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