Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding trader consensus at 95.7% to win West Virginia's May 12 Republican Senate primary, driven by her strong fundraising lead, name recognition, and recent endorsements from key groups like the West Virginia Chamber PAC last week and GO-WV on March 18. Challengers state Sen. Tom Willis, trading at 3.5%, and Alexander Gaaserud at 0.9% have drawn limited conservative criticism of Capito as moderate but show no polling traction or major momentum in the past 30 days. While incumbency provides a historical edge in low-turnout primaries, a late scandal, Willis fundraising surge beyond his recent $400,000, or energized hard-right turnout could shift odds before early voting begins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоШелли Мур Капито 95.9%
Том Уиллис 3.5%
Александр Гаассруд <1%
$11,893 Объем
$11,893 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
Шелли Мур Капито
96%
Том Уиллис
3%
Александр Гаассруд
1%
Шелли Мур Капито 95.9%
Том Уиллис 3.5%
Александр Гаассруд <1%
$11,893 Объем
$11,893 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
Шелли Мур Капито
$3,480 Объем
96%
Том Уиллис
$3,756 Объем
3%
Александр Гаассруд
$4,658 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding trader consensus at 95.7% to win West Virginia's May 12 Republican Senate primary, driven by her strong fundraising lead, name recognition, and recent endorsements from key groups like the West Virginia Chamber PAC last week and GO-WV on March 18. Challengers state Sen. Tom Willis, trading at 3.5%, and Alexander Gaaserud at 0.9% have drawn limited conservative criticism of Capito as moderate but show no polling traction or major momentum in the past 30 days. While incumbency provides a historical edge in low-turnout primaries, a late scandal, Willis fundraising surge beyond his recent $400,000, or energized hard-right turnout could shift odds before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$11,893Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding trader consensus at 95.7% to win West Virginia's May 12 Republican Senate primary, driven by her strong fundraising lead, name recognition, and recent endorsements from key groups like the West Virginia Chamber PAC last week and GO-WV on March 18. Challengers state Sen. Tom Willis, trading at 3.5%, and Alexander Gaaserud at 0.9% have drawn limited conservative criticism of Capito as moderate but show no polling traction or major momentum in the past 30 days. While incumbency provides a historical edge in low-turnout primaries, a late scandal, Willis fundraising surge beyond his recent $400,000, or energized hard-right turnout could shift odds before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$11,893Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito holds a commanding trader consensus at 95.7% to win West Virginia's May 12 Republican Senate primary, driven by her strong fundraising lead, name recognition, and recent endorsements from key groups like the West Virginia Chamber PAC last week and GO-WV on March 18. Challengers state Sen. Tom Willis, trading at 3.5%, and Alexander Gaaserud at 0.9% have drawn limited conservative criticism of Capito as moderate but show no polling traction or major momentum in the past 30 days. While incumbency provides a historical edge in low-turnout primaries, a late scandal, Willis fundraising surge beyond his recent $400,000, or energized hard-right turnout could shift odds before early voting begins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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