Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito dominates the West Virginia Republican Senate primary market at 96.4% implied probability, reflecting her commanding polls showing 70-80% support, superior fundraising with over $3 million cash on hand versus challengers' minimal resources, and endorsements from former President Trump and key state Republicans. Recent developments include early voting underway since May 1 and no major campaign events or scandals shifting sentiment in the past week, underscoring her incumbency advantage in the deep-red state ahead of the May 14 primary. Trader consensus prices in negligible upset risk from Tom Willis or Alexander Gaesserud, though a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpectedly low turnout could theoretically challenge her path to renomination.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоШелли Мур Капито 95.9%
Том Уиллис 2.8%
Александр Гаассруд 1.5%
$11,816 Объем
$11,816 Объем
Шелли Мур Капито
96%
Том Уиллис
3%
Александр Гаассруд
2%
Шелли Мур Капито 95.9%
Том Уиллис 2.8%
Александр Гаассруд 1.5%
$11,816 Объем
$11,816 Объем
Шелли Мур Капито
96%
Том Уиллис
3%
Александр Гаассруд
2%
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito dominates the West Virginia Republican Senate primary market at 96.4% implied probability, reflecting her commanding polls showing 70-80% support, superior fundraising with over $3 million cash on hand versus challengers' minimal resources, and endorsements from former President Trump and key state Republicans. Recent developments include early voting underway since May 1 and no major campaign events or scandals shifting sentiment in the past week, underscoring her incumbency advantage in the deep-red state ahead of the May 14 primary. Trader consensus prices in negligible upset risk from Tom Willis or Alexander Gaesserud, though a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpectedly low turnout could theoretically challenge her path to renomination.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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