Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's unopposed primary win on August 13 has reinforced trader consensus favoring him at 82.5% implied probability for a fifth term, buoyed by consistent polling leads over Democrat Esther Charlestin, who narrowly secured her nomination against H. Brooke Paige. Scott's moderate appeal in the Democrat-leaning state mirrors his 2022 landslide (71% to 25%), with high approval ratings on issues like property taxes and opioid policy sustaining his edge amid no major campaign disruptions in recent weeks. The closely watched general election on November 5 remains the key date, though historical incumbent re-election strength in Vermont underpins the wide Republican pricing versus the challenger's 18.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
Победитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
83%
Демократ
19%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
$2,238 Объем
83%
Демократ
$5,063 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's unopposed primary win on August 13 has reinforced trader consensus favoring him at 82.5% implied probability for a fifth term, buoyed by consistent polling leads over Democrat Esther Charlestin, who narrowly secured her nomination against H. Brooke Paige. Scott's moderate appeal in the Democrat-leaning state mirrors his 2022 landslide (71% to 25%), with high approval ratings on issues like property taxes and opioid policy sustaining his edge amid no major campaign disruptions in recent weeks. The closely watched general election on November 5 remains the key date, though historical incumbent re-election strength in Vermont underpins the wide Republican pricing versus the challenger's 18.5%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$7,301Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's unopposed primary win on August 13 has reinforced trader consensus favoring him at 82.5% implied probability for a fifth term, buoyed by consistent polling leads over Democrat Esther Charlestin, who narrowly secured her nomination against H. Brooke Paige. Scott's moderate appeal in the Democrat-leaning state mirrors his 2022 landslide (71% to 25%), with high approval ratings on issues like property taxes and opioid policy sustaining his edge amid no major campaign disruptions in recent weeks. The closely watched general election on November 5 remains the key date, though historical incumbent re-election strength in Vermont underpins the wide Republican pricing versus the challenger's 18.5%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$7,301Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's unopposed primary win on August 13 has reinforced trader consensus favoring him at 82.5% implied probability for a fifth term, buoyed by consistent polling leads over Democrat Esther Charlestin, who narrowly secured her nomination against H. Brooke Paige. Scott's moderate appeal in the Democrat-leaning state mirrors his 2022 landslide (71% to 25%), with high approval ratings on issues like property taxes and opioid policy sustaining his edge amid no major campaign disruptions in recent weeks. The closely watched general election on November 5 remains the key date, though historical incumbent re-election strength in Vermont underpins the wide Republican pricing versus the challenger's 18.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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