Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Jun 30

$156,457,940 Объем

Feb 1, 2026

Правила

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$156,457,940
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Дата создания
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Jun 30

$156,457,940 Объем

2 февраля

$3,328,065 Объем

<1%

3 февраля

$941,773 Объем

1%

4 февраля

$438,467 Объем

1%

5 февраля

$591,968 Объем

2%

6 февраля

$3,165,220 Объем

3%

13 февраля

$2,195,648 Объем

10%

20 февраля

$3,739 Объем

17%

28 февраля

$6,187,246 Объем

24%

31 марта

$5,050,484 Объем

37%

30 июня

$2,842,441 Объем

51%

О нас

Объем
$156,457,940
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Дата создания
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.