Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Jun 30

$152,893,494 Объем

Feb 1, 2026

Правила

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$152,893,494
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Создано
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат предложен: Нет

Нет спора

Финальный результат: Нет

Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.

Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Jun 30

$152,893,494 Объем

2 февраля

$1,898,386 Объем

1%

3 февраля

$582,305 Объем

2%

4 февраля

$329,863 Объем

3%

5 февраля

$465,787 Объем

4%

6 февраля

$2,697,109 Объем

7%

13 февраля

$1,946,803 Объем

16%

28 февраля

$5,674,329 Объем

30%

31 марта

$4,858,561 Объем

43%

30 июня

$2,727,464 Объем

56%

О событии

Объем
$152,893,494
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Создано
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.