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Выборы·Канада

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

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Выборы·Канада

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Danielle Martin 99.4%

Imran Khan <1%

Don Hodgson <1%

Andy D’Andrea <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$52,198 Объем

Danielle Martin 99.4%

Imran Khan <1%

Don Hodgson <1%

Andy D’Andrea <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$52,198 Объем

Market icon

Danielle Martin

$42,892 Объем

99%

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Imran Khan

$1,129 Объем

1%

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Don Hodgson

$2,166 Объем

<1%

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Andy D’Andrea

$1,759 Объем

<1%

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Serena Purdy

$735 Объем

<1%

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Samuel Baxter

$747 Объем

<1%

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Leslie Bory

$697 Объем

<1%

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Bill Whatcott

$691 Объем

<1%

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Andrew Massey

$691 Объем

<1%

Market icon

Raiden DeDominicis

$691 Объем

<1%

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Advance polls opened April 3 for the University—Rosedale federal by-election on April 13, fueling trader consensus behind Liberal candidate Danielle Martin at over 99% implied probability, reflecting the riding's status as a longstanding Liberal stronghold—securing 64% in the 2025 general election amid Chrystia Freeland's prior tenure. Martin's profile as a respected family physician and health leader with deep local roots, bolstered by Prime Minister Mark Carney's active campaigning including recent door-knocking and endorsements, has solidified her commanding position against Conservative Don Hodgson and other challengers. While barriers remain high for upsets, scenarios like a late scandal, opposition turnout surge, or voter backlash could shift odds before election day.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Объем
$52,198
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Advance polls opened April 3 for the University—Rosedale federal by-election on April 13, fueling trader consensus behind Liberal candidate Danielle Martin at over 99% implied probability, reflecting the riding's status as a longstanding Liberal stronghold—securing 64% in the 2025 general election amid Chrystia Freeland's prior tenure. Martin's profile as a respected family physician and health leader with deep local roots, bolstered by Prime Minister Mark Carney's active campaigning including recent door-knocking and endorsements, has solidified her commanding position against Conservative Don Hodgson and other challengers. While barriers remain high for upsets, scenarios like a late scandal, opposition turnout surge, or voter backlash could shift odds before election day.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Объем
$52,198
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«University—Rosedale By-Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Danielle Martin» с 99%, за ним следует «Imran Khan» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «University—Rosedale By-Election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $52.2K с момента запуска рынка Apr 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «University—Rosedale By-Election Winner», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «University—Rosedale By-Election Winner» — «Danielle Martin» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Imran Khan» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «University—Rosedale By-Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.