Preliminary CNE data and international observer reports, including from the OAS, peg 2025 Honduran general election turnout at approximately 58-59% based on 3.9 million votes from 6.5 million registered voters, driving trader consensus to 74% odds on the 55-60% bracket as the most likely outcome. This aligns with historical patterns—around 56% in 2017 amid fraud allegations, up to 69% in 2021—reflecting moderate participation despite early election-day surges surpassing primary totals. Post-November 30 voting chaos, including technical glitches, special recounts of inconsistent actas, and CNE resignations under new President Nasry Asfura, has delayed final certification, sustaining market activity into March 2026. Voter apathy from insecurity and economic woes caps higher brackets at 4%, while distrust keeps sub-55% viable at 17%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЯвка на всеобщих выборах в Гондурасе в 2025 году
Явка на всеобщих выборах в Гондурасе в 2025 году
55-60% 74.2%
<55% 17.3%
60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,902 Объем
$1,584,902 Объем
<55%
17%
55-60%
74%
60-65%
4%
55-60% 74.2%
<55% 17.3%
60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,902 Объем
$1,584,902 Объем
<55%
17%
55-60%
74%
60-65%
4%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Preliminary CNE data and international observer reports, including from the OAS, peg 2025 Honduran general election turnout at approximately 58-59% based on 3.9 million votes from 6.5 million registered voters, driving trader consensus to 74% odds on the 55-60% bracket as the most likely outcome. This aligns with historical patterns—around 56% in 2017 amid fraud allegations, up to 69% in 2021—reflecting moderate participation despite early election-day surges surpassing primary totals. Post-November 30 voting chaos, including technical glitches, special recounts of inconsistent actas, and CNE resignations under new President Nasry Asfura, has delayed final certification, sustaining market activity into March 2026. Voter apathy from insecurity and economic woes caps higher brackets at 4%, while distrust keeps sub-55% viable at 17%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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