Polymarket traders price South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth with tight clustering around modest outcomes—0.5–0.9% at 31.5%, 1.5–1.9% at 30.0%, and 2.5%+ at 28.5%—reflecting uncertainty over a fragile recovery trajectory. Recent Q4 2024 GDP expanded just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter, matching Q3's subdued print and underscoring weak domestic demand, a construction slump, and faltering exports amid China's slowdown and soft semiconductor demand. Bank of Korea's December downward revision of 2025 full-year growth to 1.9% from 2.1%, coupled with political instability from President Yoon's martial law episode and impeachment risks, has eroded business confidence. Key differentiators include potential export rebound via AI chip demand versus persistent fiscal drag; watch Q1 2025 data and political resolutions for sentiment shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРост ВВП Южной Кореи в 1 квартале 2026 года?
Рост ВВП Южной Кореи в 1 квартале 2026 года?
2,0–2,4% 31%
2,5%+ 29%
1,0–1,4% 19.7%
0,0–0,4% 4.7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 23, 2026
<0%
15%
0,0–0,4%
5%
0,5–0,9%
30%
1,0–1,4%
20%
1,5–1,9%
30%
2,0–2,4%
25%
2,5%+
29%
2,0–2,4% 31%
2,5%+ 29%
1,0–1,4% 19.7%
0,0–0,4% 4.7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 23, 2026
<0%
$0 Объем
15%
0,0–0,4%
$0 Объем
5%
0,5–0,9%
$0 Объем
30%
1,0–1,4%
$0 Объем
20%
1,5–1,9%
$0 Объем
30%
2,0–2,4%
$0 Объем
25%
2,5%+
$6,175 Объем
29%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Polymarket traders price South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth with tight clustering around modest outcomes—0.5–0.9% at 31.5%, 1.5–1.9% at 30.0%, and 2.5%+ at 28.5%—reflecting uncertainty over a fragile recovery trajectory. Recent Q4 2024 GDP expanded just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter, matching Q3's subdued print and underscoring weak domestic demand, a construction slump, and faltering exports amid China's slowdown and soft semiconductor demand. Bank of Korea's December downward revision of 2025 full-year growth to 1.9% from 2.1%, coupled with political instability from President Yoon's martial law episode and impeachment risks, has eroded business confidence. Key differentiators include potential export rebound via AI chip demand versus persistent fiscal drag; watch Q1 2025 data and political resolutions for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Объем
$6,175Дата окончания
Apr 23, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Polymarket traders price South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth with tight clustering around modest outcomes—0.5–0.9% at 31.5%, 1.5–1.9% at 30.0%, and 2.5%+ at 28.5%—reflecting uncertainty over a fragile recovery trajectory. Recent Q4 2024 GDP expanded just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter, matching Q3's subdued print and underscoring weak domestic demand, a construction slump, and faltering exports amid China's slowdown and soft semiconductor demand. Bank of Korea's December downward revision of 2025 full-year growth to 1.9% from 2.1%, coupled with political instability from President Yoon's martial law episode and impeachment risks, has eroded business confidence. Key differentiators include potential export rebound via AI chip demand versus persistent fiscal drag; watch Q1 2025 data and political resolutions for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Объем
$6,175Дата окончания
Apr 23, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth with tight clustering around modest outcomes—0.5–0.9% at 31.5%, 1.5–1.9% at 30.0%, and 2.5%+ at 28.5%—reflecting uncertainty over a fragile recovery trajectory. Recent Q4 2024 GDP expanded just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter, matching Q3's subdued print and underscoring weak domestic demand, a construction slump, and faltering exports amid China's slowdown and soft semiconductor demand. Bank of Korea's December downward revision of 2025 full-year growth to 1.9% from 2.1%, coupled with political instability from President Yoon's martial law episode and impeachment risks, has eroded business confidence. Key differentiators include potential export rebound via AI chip demand versus persistent fiscal drag; watch Q1 2025 data and political resolutions for sentiment shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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