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Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда

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Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда

$44,000 Объем

Polymarket

$44,000 Объем

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Демократ

$39,833 Объем

94%

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Республиканец

$4,167 Объем

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's November 3 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has held the office since Donald Carcieri left in 2015—and consistent partisan margins exceeding 15 points in recent presidential races. Incumbent Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes in February and March polls, including a UNH survey showing Foulkes up 16 points and a late-March Concord poll with her at 24% to McKee's 14%, yet the Democratic nominee remains heavily favored over a fragmented Republican field featuring 2022 nominee Ashley Kalus and lesser-known entrants. The September 8 primaries loom as a key event; a bruising Democratic contest, major scandal, or national GOP wave could challenge this positioning, though base rates favor Democratic retention.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$44,000
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's November 3 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has held the office since Donald Carcieri left in 2015—and consistent partisan margins exceeding 15 points in recent presidential races. Incumbent Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes in February and March polls, including a UNH survey showing Foulkes up 16 points and a late-March Concord poll with her at 24% to McKee's 14%, yet the Democratic nominee remains heavily favored over a fragmented Republican field featuring 2022 nominee Ashley Kalus and lesser-known entrants. The September 8 primaries loom as a key event; a bruising Democratic contest, major scandal, or national GOP wave could challenge this positioning, though base rates favor Democratic retention.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$44,000
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Демократ» с 94%, за ним следует «Республиканец» с 5%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 94¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $44K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда» — «Демократ» с 94%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Республиканец» с 5%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.