Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) holds a commanding lead over Democrat Amy Cox in Ohio's 10th Congressional District vote count, with over 60% of ballots tallied showing a 25-point margin as of late election night, driving trader consensus to 72.5% for a Republican win. The district's Republican tilt, anchored by suburban Dayton voters and Wright-Patterson Air Force Base influence, combined with Turner's long incumbency and pre-election polling averages forecasting a double-digit victory, solidify this positioning. Minimal outstanding mail and provisional ballots from Democratic-leaning urban areas pose low risk of reversal, pending official certification by mid-December. Historical House incumbent re-election rates above 90% further reinforce the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-10
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-10
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
74%
Демократическая партия
25%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$2,838 Объем
74%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) holds a commanding lead over Democrat Amy Cox in Ohio's 10th Congressional District vote count, with over 60% of ballots tallied showing a 25-point margin as of late election night, driving trader consensus to 72.5% for a Republican win. The district's Republican tilt, anchored by suburban Dayton voters and Wright-Patterson Air Force Base influence, combined with Turner's long incumbency and pre-election polling averages forecasting a double-digit victory, solidify this positioning. Minimal outstanding mail and provisional ballots from Democratic-leaning urban areas pose low risk of reversal, pending official certification by mid-December. Historical House incumbent re-election rates above 90% further reinforce the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$2,838Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) holds a commanding lead over Democrat Amy Cox in Ohio's 10th Congressional District vote count, with over 60% of ballots tallied showing a 25-point margin as of late election night, driving trader consensus to 72.5% for a Republican win. The district's Republican tilt, anchored by suburban Dayton voters and Wright-Patterson Air Force Base influence, combined with Turner's long incumbency and pre-election polling averages forecasting a double-digit victory, solidify this positioning. Minimal outstanding mail and provisional ballots from Democratic-leaning urban areas pose low risk of reversal, pending official certification by mid-December. Historical House incumbent re-election rates above 90% further reinforce the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$2,838Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) holds a commanding lead over Democrat Amy Cox in Ohio's 10th Congressional District vote count, with over 60% of ballots tallied showing a 25-point margin as of late election night, driving trader consensus to 72.5% for a Republican win. The district's Republican tilt, anchored by suburban Dayton voters and Wright-Patterson Air Force Base influence, combined with Turner's long incumbency and pre-election polling averages forecasting a double-digit victory, solidify this positioning. Minimal outstanding mail and provisional ballots from Democratic-leaning urban areas pose low risk of reversal, pending official certification by mid-December. Historical House incumbent re-election rates above 90% further reinforce the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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