Incumbent Rep. George Latimer's (D) dominant 71% win in the 2024 general election, following his primary defeat of Jamaal Bowman, combined with NY-16's D+18 partisan voter index—the 72nd most Democratic district nationally—drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, the race features no declared Republican candidate ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries, with early fundraising favoring Latimer. Congressional lines finalized unchanged in early March preserved the district's blue lean across Westchester and Bronx areas. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, competitive Democratic primary, or national midterm Republican wave could challenge this, structural advantages sustain the heavy favoritism.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-16
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-16
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$5,998 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$3,771 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. George Latimer's (D) dominant 71% win in the 2024 general election, following his primary defeat of Jamaal Bowman, combined with NY-16's D+18 partisan voter index—the 72nd most Democratic district nationally—drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, the race features no declared Republican candidate ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries, with early fundraising favoring Latimer. Congressional lines finalized unchanged in early March preserved the district's blue lean across Westchester and Bronx areas. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, competitive Democratic primary, or national midterm Republican wave could challenge this, structural advantages sustain the heavy favoritism.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$9,769Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. George Latimer's (D) dominant 71% win in the 2024 general election, following his primary defeat of Jamaal Bowman, combined with NY-16's D+18 partisan voter index—the 72nd most Democratic district nationally—drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, the race features no declared Republican candidate ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries, with early fundraising favoring Latimer. Congressional lines finalized unchanged in early March preserved the district's blue lean across Westchester and Bronx areas. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, competitive Democratic primary, or national midterm Republican wave could challenge this, structural advantages sustain the heavy favoritism.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,769Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. George Latimer's (D) dominant 71% win in the 2024 general election, following his primary defeat of Jamaal Bowman, combined with NY-16's D+18 partisan voter index—the 72nd most Democratic district nationally—drives trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, the race features no declared Republican candidate ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries, with early fundraising favoring Latimer. Congressional lines finalized unchanged in early March preserved the district's blue lean across Westchester and Bronx areas. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, competitive Democratic primary, or national midterm Republican wave could challenge this, structural advantages sustain the heavy favoritism.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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