Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability for TSA passenger throughput on March 27 falling in the 2.6M-2.8M range, reflecting suppressed screening volumes amid a prolonged government shutdown fueling TSA staffing shortages with callout rates exceeding 30-40% at major airports. Recent daily data underscores this positioning: March 26 at 2.72M, March 23 at 2.64M, and March 20 at 2.77M, down from peaks like March 22's 2.87M, as multi-hour security lines deter commercial travel and boost private jet usage by 39%. Lower mid-week figures on March 24 (2.19M) and 25 (2.38M) highlight volatility, but Friday patterns and ongoing disruptions favor the leading bracket ahead of today's official data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено2.6M-2.8M 90%
2.8M-3.0M 9%
<2.6M 4.0%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
$23,104 Объем
$23,104 Объем
<2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
90%
2.8M-3.0M
9%
3.0M-3.2M
13%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 90%
2.8M-3.0M 9%
<2.6M 4.0%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
$23,104 Объем
$23,104 Объем
<2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
90%
2.8M-3.0M
9%
3.0M-3.2M
13%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability for TSA passenger throughput on March 27 falling in the 2.6M-2.8M range, reflecting suppressed screening volumes amid a prolonged government shutdown fueling TSA staffing shortages with callout rates exceeding 30-40% at major airports. Recent daily data underscores this positioning: March 26 at 2.72M, March 23 at 2.64M, and March 20 at 2.77M, down from peaks like March 22's 2.87M, as multi-hour security lines deter commercial travel and boost private jet usage by 39%. Lower mid-week figures on March 24 (2.19M) and 25 (2.38M) highlight volatility, but Friday patterns and ongoing disruptions favor the leading bracket ahead of today's official data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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