Following Sen. Gary Peters' retirement, Michigan's open Democratic Senate primary features a competitive three-way contest among state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, former health director Abdul El-Sayed, and Rep. Haley Stevens, with the August 4 ballot drawing trader consensus toward McMorrow at 54.5% implied probability. Her lead stems from dominant small-donor fundraising—over $1.2 million and 55,000 contributions year-to-date—plus endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, and Michigan Senate Majority Leader Winnie Brinks, signaling moderate appeal in swing-state battlegrounds. Recent polls vary: McMorrow's March internal showed her at 30%, while Impact Research (late February, released March 25) had El-Sayed at 38% and Stevens at 35%, reflecting progressive backing for El-Sayed amid undecided voters and upcoming debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии Мичигана
Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии Мичигана
Мэллори МакМорроу 55%
Абдул Эль-Сайед 32%
Хейли Стивенс 14%
Рашида Тлаиб <1%
$371,454 Объем
$371,454 Объем
Мэллори МакМорроу
55%
Абдул Эль-Сайед
32%
Хейли Стивенс
14%
Рашида Тлаиб
<1%
Сара Энтони
<1%
Кристен Макдональд Ривет
<1%
Дана Нессел
<1%
Энди Левин
<1%
Мэтт Сар
<1%
Мэллори МакМорроу 55%
Абдул Эль-Сайед 32%
Хейли Стивенс 14%
Рашида Тлаиб <1%
$371,454 Объем
$371,454 Объем
Мэллори МакМорроу
55%
Абдул Эль-Сайед
32%
Хейли Стивенс
14%
Рашида Тлаиб
<1%
Сара Энтони
<1%
Кристен Макдональд Ривет
<1%
Дана Нессел
<1%
Энди Левин
<1%
Мэтт Сар
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Sen. Gary Peters' retirement, Michigan's open Democratic Senate primary features a competitive three-way contest among state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, former health director Abdul El-Sayed, and Rep. Haley Stevens, with the August 4 ballot drawing trader consensus toward McMorrow at 54.5% implied probability. Her lead stems from dominant small-donor fundraising—over $1.2 million and 55,000 contributions year-to-date—plus endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, and Michigan Senate Majority Leader Winnie Brinks, signaling moderate appeal in swing-state battlegrounds. Recent polls vary: McMorrow's March internal showed her at 30%, while Impact Research (late February, released March 25) had El-Sayed at 38% and Stevens at 35%, reflecting progressive backing for El-Sayed amid undecided voters and upcoming debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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